What's Driving GDS Holdings Ltd's Surprising 21% Stock Rally?

GDS Holdings Ltd (GDS, Financial) has recently experienced a notable uptick in its stock performance, with a market capitalization now standing at $1.45 billion. The current price of GDS shares is $7.69, reflecting a 12.32% gain over the past week and a 21.21% gain over the past three months. Despite these gains, the GF Value of the stock is $34.15, up from the past GF Value of $33.24. However, the current and past GF Valuation both suggest that GDS may be a Possible Value Trap, advising investors to think twice before making an investment decision.

Introduction to GDS Holdings Ltd

GDS Holdings Ltd, operating in the software industry, is a leading provider of data centers in China, with an expansion strategy that includes Southeast Asia. The company, which began as an IT service provider in 2001, has transitioned to developing and operating data centers, offering colocation and managed services primarily to hyperscale cloud service customers. GDS has been on a capital-raising spree for expansion, with its facilities primarily located in Tier 1 Chinese cities. The company is listed on NASDAQ and completed a secondary listing in Hong Kong in 2020. 1783861351526068224.png

Assessing GDS Holdings' Profitability

With a Profitability Rank of 5/10, GDS Holdings exhibits moderate profitability. The company's operating margin stands at 7.42%, which is better than 62.76% of its industry peers. However, its Return on Equity (ROE) is at -5.77%, which, while better than 34.71% of industry peers, indicates a loss in equity value. The Return on Assets (ROA) of -1.71% and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 1.35% suggest that GDS is performing better than 42.1% and 48.55% of its industry counterparts, respectively. These figures highlight a mixed profitability scenario for GDS Holdings. 1783861370819866624.png

Growth Trajectory of GDS Holdings

The company's Growth Rank is an impressive 10/10. GDS Holdings has demonstrated strong growth with a 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share of 19.70%, outperforming 73.43% of its industry peers. Its 5-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share is even more remarkable at 25.00%, surpassing 86.55% of competitors. The estimated Total Revenue Growth Rate for the next 3 to 5 years is 10.74%, which is better than nearly half of the industry. However, the company's 3-Year and 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rates are -36.60% and -24.10%, respectively, indicating challenges in maintaining earnings growth. 1783861397046849536.png

Notable Shareholders in GDS Holdings

Among the significant shareholders of GDS Holdings, Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) stands out with 186,200 shares, representing a 0.1% stake in the company. Another prominent investor, Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio), holds 13,600 shares, accounting for a 0.01% share percentage. These holdings reflect the confidence of seasoned investors in the potential of GDS Holdings, despite the mixed signals from profitability and growth metrics.

Competitive Landscape

When compared to its competitors, GDS Holdings is positioned within a close market capitalization range. NCR Voyix Corp (VYX, Financial) has a market cap of $1.78 billion, Perficient Inc (PRFT, Financial) is valued at $1.54 billion, and N-able Inc (NABL, Financial) stands at $2.29 billion. This proximity in market cap suggests that GDS operates in a competitive environment with peers that have similar financial scale.

Conclusion

In summary, GDS Holdings Ltd's recent stock performance has been impressive, with significant gains over the past week and three months. The company's market position as a data center provider in China and its expansion into Southeast Asia are strategic moves that could underpin future growth. However, the GF Valuation indicates caution, labeling the stock as a possible value trap. The company's profitability and growth metrics present a mixed picture, with strong revenue growth countered by negative EPS growth rates. The presence of notable shareholders like Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) and Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio) suggests investor confidence, while the comparison with competitors shows GDS is holding its own in a tight market. Value investors should weigh these factors carefully when considering GDS Holdings as a potential addition to their portfolios.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.