David Herro Comments on CIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA

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Apr 09, 2015

Richemont (XSWX:CFR) (Switzerland), the world’s second-largest luxury goods company, was the quarter’s biggest detractor, falling 10%. Richemont’s stock price fell after its fiscal nine-month sales update, which indicated a slow third quarter. Thus, even though the company’s organic sales grew 2% for the full period, they still fell short of our forecast. Sales declined most in Hong Kong/Macau and in the company’s specialty watch unit, both of which generate margins greater than the group’s average. Even so, sales in Europe and the Americas increased 9% and 7%, respectively, which we see as encouraging. We expect Richemont’s near-term results will be negatively impacted by the stronger Swiss franc, as most of its watch manufacturing costs are denominated in francs while much of its revenues are not. However, the company’s brands have pricing power, and management has already announced mid-single-digit price increases in Europe. Moves like these should offset some of the currency exchange rate volatility. While Richemont is facing some short-term headwinds, we believe the long-term growth prospects remain intact.

From David Herro (Trades, Portfolio)'s Oakmark International Fund 1Q 2015 Letter.