Peter Lynch Screens Identify Opportunities for 2019

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Jan 25, 2019
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As the stock markets continue fluctuating over the first three weeks of 2019, investors continue seeking good opportunities for the months ahead.

According to the Peter Lynch price-earnings screen, the top three stocks are Hennessy Advisors Inc. (HNNA, Financial), Westlake Chemical Corp. (WLK, Financial) and Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP, Financial).

Dow begins rebounding from two-year low, yet volatility remains high

Despite trading near an intraday high of 24,854.36, up approximately 301 points from Thursday’s close of 24,553.24, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 24,737.20 on Friday, down approximately 117 points from the intraday high. Market volatility remains high on several ongoing factors, including the government shutdown, which was temporarily resolved on Friday, and the U.S.-China trade war.

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Stocks gained as President Trump announced a deal with Congress that funds the government until Feb. 15. CNBC columnist Michael Sheetz quoted two analysts with different perspectives: while Fundstrat Global Advisors strategist Tom Block said the reopening of the government is a “positive for Wall Street,” KKM Financial CEO Jeff Kilburg said traders are expected to “take profits” as the D.C. dysfunction continues.

Value screeners recap

As we saw in previous articles, GuruFocus offers a wide variety of value screens, including Benjamin Graham’s net-net screen and the Buffett-Munger screen, which selects stocks based on Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.A, Financial)(BRK.B, Financial) co-managers Warren Buffett (Trades, Portfolio) and Charlie Munger (Trades, Portfolio)’s investing criteria. Table 1 shows the value screener record counts for each of our value screens, located under the Screeners tab, over the past week for the U.S. region.

Screener Jan. 21 Jan. 22 Jan. 23 Jan. 24 Jan. 25
Graham Net-Net 279 283 282 283 281
Undervalued Predict 68 69 67 71 71
Buffett-Munger 25 27 26 28 27
Peter Lynch PE 47 49 48 47 55
Peter Lynch PS 162 169 162 161 174
Peter Lynch PB 222 234 229 222 255
Lynch p2ebitda 226 225 215 219 249
Hist Low PS 44 46 49 47 44
Hist Low PB 62 63 63 62 60
High Div Yield 73 72 71 70 63
Magic Formula 4282 4286 4188 4254 4234

Table 1: Value screener record for the U.S.

Tables 2 and 3 show the value screener record counts for Europe and Asia.

Screener Jan. 21 Jan. 22 Jan. 23 Jan. 24 Jan. 25
Graham Net-Net 296 272 272 276 275
Undervalued Predict 98 81 78 86 88
Buffett-Munger 47 41 39 43 44
Peter Lynch PE 56 45 44 46 44
Peter Lynch PS 153 128 119 137 132
Peter Lynch PB 203 162 163 168 175
Lynch p2ebitda 258 202 192 206 195
Hist Low PS 38 40 44 41 39
Hist Low PB 50 51 54 52 50
High Div Yield 103 101 102 101 99
Magic Formula 5953 5274 5182 5243 5293

Table 2: Value screener record for Europe

Screener Jan. 21 Jan. 22 Jan. 23 Jan. 24 Jan. 25
Graham Net-Net 643 649 649 646 639
Undervalued Predict 69 71 73 70 69
Buffett-Munger 75 77 77 75 75
Peter Lynch PE 75 74 76 74 74
Peter Lynch PS 123 126 128 121 120
Peter Lynch PB 142 140 141 136 132
Lynch p2ebitda 148 153 152 149 147
Hist Low PS 128 125 128 41 130
Hist Low PB 139 132 142 52 133
High Div Yield 27 26 26 24 25
Magic Formula 12617 12634 12635 12632 12631

Table 3: Value screener record for Asia

Legendary investor Peter Lynch, author of “One Up on Wall Street,” developed a chart containing two financial series: a company’s stock price and the price at a price-earnings ratio of 15. GuruFocus displays a Peter Lynch Chart on each company’s summary page: Figure 1 shows a sample chart for Apple Inc. (AAPL), Buffett’s largest holding.

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Figure 1

Hennessy Advisors

Hennessy Advisors, the top stock on the Peter Lynch screen, is trading at a price-earnings ratio of 4.21, close to a 10-year low of 3.71.

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Hennessy Advisors manages a wide variety of funds, including the Hennessy Japan Fund (Trades, Portfolio) and the Hennessy Japan Small Cap Fund (Trades, Portfolio). GuruFocus ranks the asset management company’s profitability 9 out of 10 on several positive signs, which include expanding profit margins and a dividend yield of 3.72%, close to a five-year high. Additionally, the company’s Joel Greenblatt (Trades, Portfolio) return on capital of 7,529.05% ranks higher than 95% of global competitors.

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Westlake Chemical

Westlake Chemical, the second-highest ranked stock on the list, is trading at a price-earnings ratio close to a 10-year low of 5.87.

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The Houston-based specialty chemicals company produces fabricated products through two business segments: Olefins and Vinyls. GuruFocus ranks the company’s profitability 9 out of 10 on several positive signs, which include a strong Piotroski F-score of 8 and a three-year revenue growth rate of 23.40%, a rate that outperforms 92% of global competitors. Additionally, Westlake Chemical’s business predictability ranks a solid 3.5 stars out of five.

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Gurus with large holdings in Westlake Chemical include Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio) and Chuck Royce (Trades, Portfolio); the latter is the keynote speaker at our value conference in May.

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Eagle Materials

Eagle Materials, the third-highest ranked stock on the list, is trading at a price-earnings ratio of 11.69.

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The Dallas-based company produces and supplies construction products, building materials and materials used in oil and gas extraction. GuruFocus ranks the company’s profitability 8 out of 10 on several positive signs, which include expanding profit margins and a strong Piotroski F-score of 7.

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See also

Other top stocks on the Peter Lynch price-earnings screen include Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV, Financial), Marten Transport Ltd. (MRTN, Financial) and Universal Forest Products Inc. (UFPI, Financial).

Disclosure: No positions.

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