5 Companies With High Predictability Ratings

Cracker Barrel tops the list

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Mar 22, 2019
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According to the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener, the following companies have high business predictability ratings and a wide margin of safety.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc. (CBRL)

The company has a four out of five-star business predictability rank and, according to the discounted cash flow calculator, a 12% margin of safety at $160 per share.

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The restaurant chain, which provides home-style country cooking, has a market cap of $3.69 billion and an enterprise value of $3.92 billion. Over the last five years, its revenue has grown 2.70% and earnings per share have increased 15.7%.

The stock was stable over the last 12 months and is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 16.92. The share price has been as high as $185 and as low as $141.63 in the last 52 weeks. As of Friday, it is trading 17.06% below its 52-week high and 8.33% above its 52-week low.

With 0.39% of outstanding shares, Jim Simons (Trades, Portfolio)’ Renaissance Technologies is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by Pioneer Investments (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.28% and Lee Ainslie (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.23%.

Universal Health Services Inc. (UHS)

The company has a four-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 25% margin of safety at $136 per share.

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The company, which provides acute care hospital services, has a market cap of $12.40 billion. Over the last five years, its revenue has increased 9.40% and its earnings per share have grown 10.70%.

The stock has risen 9% over the last 12 months and is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 16.15 and a price-book ratio of 2.30. The share price has been as high as $142.21 and as low as $109.37 in the last 52 weeks. As of Friday, it is trading 5.76% below its 52-week high and 22.54% above its 52-week low.

With 5.06% of outstanding shares, the Vanguard Health Care Fund (Trades, Portfolio) is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by First Eagle Investment (Trades, Portfolio) with 3.24% and Larry Robbins (Trades, Portfolio) with 2.16%.

Dollar General Corp. (DG)

The company has a 4.5-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 31% margin of safety at $118 per share.

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The discount retailer has a $30.79 billion market cap. Over the last five years, its revenue has grown 12.10% and its earnings per share have increased 14.40%.

The stock has risen 28% over the last 12 months; it is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 19.54 and a price-book ratio of 4.79. The share price has been as high as $121.27 and as low as $86.87 in the last 52 weeks. It is currently trading 3.41% below its 52-week high and 34.83% above its 52-week low.

With 5.41% of outstanding shares, Barrow, Hanley, Mewhinney & Strauss is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by Pioneer Investments with 0.61% and Diamond Hill Capital (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.12%.

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL)

The company has a three-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 53% margin of safety at $116 per share.

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The cruise line has a $24.27 billion market cap. Over the last five years, its revenue has increased 4.40% and its earnings per share have grown 32.90%.

The stock has fallen 3% over the last 12 months; it is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 13.52 and a price-book ratio of 2.18. The share price has been as high as $133.60 and as low as $89.48 in the last 52 weeks. It is currently trading 13.17% below its 52-week high and 29.64% above its 52-week low.

The company's largest guru shareholder is PRIMECAP Management (Trades, Portfolio) with 4.59% of outstanding shares, followed by Barrow, Hanley, Mewhinney & Strauss with 1.31%, Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.35% and John Rogers (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.32%.

Kansas City Southern (KSU)

The company has a five-star business predictability rank and, according to the DCF calculator, a 35% margin of safety at $112 per share.

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The company, which develops roadways and railways, has a market cap of $11.4 billion. Over the last five years, its revenue has grown 3.50% and its earnings per share have increased 16.60%.

The stock has risen 4% over the last 12 months; it is currently trading with a price-earnings ratio of 18.43 and a price-book ratio of 2.37. The price has been as high as $120.34 and as low as $90.55 in the last 52 weeks. It is currently trading 6.14% below its 52-week high and 24.74% above its 52-week low.

With 1.35% of outstanding shares, Pioneer Investments is the company's largest guru shareholder, followed by the Cohen with 0.33% and Ken Fisher (Trades, Portfolio) with 0.30%.

Disclosure: I do not own any stocks mentioned.

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