On July 17, 2026, Allstate Corp ALL shares rose by 3.3% to a current price of $249.90. The stock has experienced a 52-week trading range between $188.08 and $257.67, showing notable volatility in the past year.
- GF Valueâ„¢ verdict: Current price is $249.90, compared to a GF Valueâ„¢ of $200.10, indicating the stock is 24.9% overvalued.
- GF Scoreâ„¢: 69/100, which is classified as Above Average, suggesting decent potential for long-term returns.
- Most notable signal: Insiders sold $4.9 million in shares over the last three months, indicating a lack of confidence among company executives.
Is ALL Overvalued or Undervalued?
Comparing Allstate Corp's current stock price to its GF Valueâ„¢, it is evident that the shares are trading at a significant premium. With a current price of $249.90 against a GF Valueâ„¢ of $200.10, this results in a margin of safety that is clearly negative, as the stock is 24.9% overvalued. The GF Valuation label classifies the stock as Modestly Overvalued, indicating that the current price presents a potential risk for investors seeking to enter or add to positions in ALL. This overvaluation suggests that the stock may not provide adequate returns relative to its intrinsic value based on the analysis of historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates.
Investors may face risks associated with the potential for a correction if market sentiment shifts or if the company fails to meet growth expectations. Furthermore, the overall market may react negatively to the current overvaluation, which could lead to price volatility in the future.
How Does ALL's Valuation Compare to Its History?
| Metric | Current | Historical |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | 5.5x | 11.5x (5-Year Median) |
| Forward P/E | 8.2x | N/A |
Allstate's current P/E (TTM) of 5.5x is significantly below its 5-year median P/E of 11.5x, suggesting that the stock is trading at a discount compared to its historical valuation. However, the forward P/E of 8.2x still indicates that the stock is trading below its historical average. This P/E analysis aligns with the GF Valueâ„¢ verdict, confirming that the stock is indeed overvalued relative to its historical earnings performance.
What Does ALL's GF Scoreâ„¢ Tell Us?
| Metric | Rating |
|---|---|
| GF Scoreâ„¢ | 69 |
| Financial Strength | 5/10 |
| Profitability | 6/10 |
| Growth | 5/10 |
| Valuation | 6/10 |
| Momentum | 3/10 |
The GF Scoreâ„¢ of 69/100 indicates that Allstate Corp is performing above average across key metrics. The strongest area appears to be Profitability, with a rating of 6/10, suggesting that the company has solid profit margins and return on equity. However, the weakest area is Momentum, rated at 3/10, indicating that the stock has not exhibited strong price performance recently. Overall, while the financial strength is moderate, the potential for growth and momentum may be a concern for long-term investors.
What Are Insiders Doing with ALL Stock?
Recent insider activity has shown a trend of selling, with insiders offloading $4.9 million in shares over the past three months. This lack of buying could signify a lack of confidence in the company's future performance or a belief that the stock is currently overvalued. When insiders sell shares, it often raises red flags for potential investors as it may indicate that those closest to the company do not anticipate significant upside in the near future.
The absence of insider buying further reinforces the caution surrounding the current stock price, as it highlights a divergence between market performance and internal confidence.
What This Means for Investors
Based on the analysis of GF Valueâ„¢, Allstate Corp ALL is currently overvalued. With a significant gap between the current stock price and its intrinsic value, investors may want to exercise caution when considering new positions or adding to existing ones.
For the complete analysis, visit the Allstate Corp ALL stock page. You can also explore the GF Valueâ„¢ page for detailed valuation methodology, or use the GuruFocus Stock Screener to find similar opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is ALL's GF Scoreâ„¢?
ALL's GF Scoreâ„¢ is 69/100, which indicates that it is performing above average compared to other stocks based on a combination of key financial metrics.
Is ALL overvalued or undervalued?
According to the GF Valueâ„¢, ALL is overvalued, with a current price of $249.90 compared to a GF Valueâ„¢ of $200.10, representing a 24.9% overvaluation.
What is ALL's P/E ratio?
ALL's P/E (TTM) is 5.5x, which is significantly below its 5-year median P/E of 11.5x, indicating that the stock is trading at a discount relative to its historical valuation.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
