On July 27, 2026, ConocoPhillips COP shares fell 3.9% to a current price of $115.58. This decline comes amid a 52-week range of $85.57 to $135.87, indicating significant volatility in the stock's performance over the past year.
- GF Valueâ„¢ verdict: The current price is $115.58, which is 3.0% overvalued compared to the GF Valueâ„¢ of $112.22.
- GF Scoreâ„¢: 74/100, indicating an above-average rating that suggests solid potential for long-term returns.
- Most notable signal: Insider activity shows that insiders sold $0.2M in the last 3 months with no buying activity.
Is COP Overvalued or Undervalued?
According to the GF Valueâ„¢, ConocoPhillips is currently trading at $115.58, which is slightly above its fair value estimate of $112.22. This positions the stock as 3.0% overvalued, suggesting that there is limited margin of safety for potential investors. The GF Valuation label indicates that the stock is fairly valued based on its underlying fundamentals and market conditions. Investors considering a position in COP should be aware of the overvaluation risk, as it indicates that the stock may not provide adequate returns if it does not meet growth expectations.
GF Valueâ„¢ is GuruFocus' proprietary measure of intrinsic value, calculated from historical trading multiples, past business growth, and future performance estimates. The current overvaluation could lead to price adjustments if the company's performance does not align with market expectations or if broader market conditions shift.
How Does COP's Valuation Compare to Its History?
| Metric | Current | Historical |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | 19.6x | 12.5x |
| Forward P/E | 12.1x | N/A |
The current P/E ratio of ConocoPhillips stands at 19.6x, which is 57% above its 5-year median P/E of 12.5x. This suggests that the stock is trading at a premium compared to its historical valuation metrics. The forward P/E of 12.1x indicates expectations for future earnings, but the current elevated P/E analysis aligns with the GF Valueâ„¢ verdict that the stock is overvalued. This disparity between the current P/E and its historical median further emphasizes the caution that should be exercised when considering the stock's valuation.
What Does COP's GF Scoreâ„¢ Tell Us?
| Metric | Rating |
|---|---|
| GF Scoreâ„¢ | 74/100 |
| Financial Strength | 6/10 |
| Profitability | 7/10 |
| Growth | 4/10 |
| Valuation | 7/10 |
| Momentum | 5/10 |
The GF Scoreâ„¢ of 74/100 indicates that ConocoPhillips is positioned well above average when assessed against key performance metrics. The strongest aspect is its Profitability rank of 7/10, suggesting robust profit generation capabilities. However, the Growth rank of 4/10 reflects potential concerns regarding future growth prospects. Financial Strength is rated at 6/10, which indicates moderate stability, while the Valuation rank aligns with the overvalued status indicated by the GF Valueâ„¢. The Momentum rank of 5/10 implies that stock price movements are relatively stable, but not particularly strong.
What Are Insiders Doing with COP Stock?
Recent insider activity for ConocoPhillips shows that insiders have sold $0.2 million worth of shares over the last three months, with no reported buying activity. This pattern may suggest a lack of confidence among insiders regarding the stock's current price or future prospects. Typically, insider selling can be interpreted as a bearish signal, as insiders may believe that the stock is fairly valued or overvalued at current levels.
What This Means for Investors
Based on the GF Valueâ„¢ assessment, ConocoPhillips is currently overvalued at $115.58 compared to the fair value estimate of $112.22. The combination of a high P/E ratio and insider selling activity suggests caution for potential investors. It may be prudent to monitor the stock closely for any changes in fundamentals before making investment decisions.
For the complete analysis, visit the ConocoPhillips COP stock page. You can also explore the GF Valueâ„¢ page for detailed valuation methodology, or use the GuruFocus Stock Screener to find similar opportunities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is COP's GF Scoreâ„¢?
COP's GF Scoreâ„¢ is 74/100, indicating an above-average rating that suggests potential for solid long-term returns.
Is COP overvalued or undervalued?
COP is currently overvalued with a GF Valueâ„¢ of $112.22 compared to its market price of $115.58, suggesting limited upside potential.
What is COP's P/E ratio?
The P/E ratio for COP is 19.6x, which is significantly above its 5-year median P/E of 12.5x, indicating a premium valuation compared to its historical performance.
This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].
