ASML Looks 45.5% Overvalued on GF Value™ as of August 2026

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GuruFocus News
08/10/2026 03:57
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On August 10, 2026, ASML Holding NV ASML stood out among European tech stocks driving market gains, despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainties affecting inflation and interest rate expectations. The semiconductor giant’s shares advanced alongside luxury brands like LVMH and Hermes, reflecting investor confidence in select high-quality growth names.

  • GF Value™ verdict: ASML’s current price of $1,740.99 is 45.5% above its GF Value™ of $1,196.15, indicating significant overvaluation.
  • GF Score™: A robust 91/100, signaling excellent overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Guru 13F activity: Held by 22 premium gurus with a net positive flow — 14 added shares versus 10 trimmed recently — highlighting sustained institutional interest.

What's Behind the News?

The European stock market saw modest gains on August 10, 2026, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 index edging up to €660.6. ASML Holding NV was among the top performers, buoyed by the broader technology sector rally. This comes amid ongoing uncertainty surrounding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping lane whose status continues to influence inflationary pressures and central bank interest rate policies globally. Investors appear to be favoring companies with strong fundamentals and growth prospects in this complex macroeconomic environment.

ASML Holding NV is a dominant player in the semiconductor industry, specializing in lithography systems essential for manufacturing cutting-edge chips. The company commands approximately 90% market share in this niche, supplying major chipmakers such as TSMC, Samsung, Intel, SK Hynix, and Micron. With a market capitalization of $668.71 billion, ASML operates primarily on the NASDAQ exchange and is widely regarded as a critical enabler of semiconductor innovation and scaling.

Is ASML Overvalued or Undervalued?

According to GuruFocus’ proprietary GF Value™ metric, ASML is currently trading at $1,740.99 per share, which is 45.5% above its intrinsic value estimate of $1,196.15. This significant premium suggests limited margin of safety for new investors at current levels, implying that the stock is priced for very optimistic future growth and profitability assumptions. The GF Value™ calculation incorporates historical trading multiples, past business growth, and forward-looking estimates, providing a comprehensive valuation perspective.

Supporting this valuation view, ASML’s trailing twelve months (TTM) price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 54.41x, markedly higher than its five-year median P/E of 39.25x. This elevated multiple reflects strong investor expectations but also points to stretched valuation relative to historical norms. Investors should weigh this premium carefully against the company’s growth prospects and financial strength. For more on GF Value™, visit GF Value™.

What Does ASML's GF Score™ Tell Us?

The GF Score™ aggregates multiple dimensions of a company’s financial health, profitability, growth, valuation, and momentum into a single rating out of 100. ASML’s impressive GF Score™ of 91 indicates a high-quality business with strong fundamentals and consistent performance. Its top sub-ranks include Profitability and Growth, both scoring a perfect 10/10, underscoring ASML’s robust operating margins and sustained earnings expansion. Financial Strength is solid at 7/10, reflecting a stable balance sheet and excellent interest coverage. However, the Valuation rank is only 3/10, confirming the premium price investors are paying. Momentum is moderate at 6/10, indicating steady but not extreme price trends.

Metric Rating
GF Score™ 91
Financial Strength 7/10
Profitability 10/10
Growth 10/10
Valuation 3/10
Momentum 6/10

This profile suggests that while ASML excels operationally and financially, its current market price reflects a valuation premium that tempers the overall attractiveness. For further details, see the ASML stock page.

What Are Gurus and Insiders Doing with ASML?

ASML is held by 22 premium gurus tracked by GuruFocus, with a net positive recent activity: 14 gurus increased their holdings while 10 trimmed positions. This net accumulation signals continued confidence from some of the market’s most respected institutional investors. Insider activity, however, shows no reported purchases or sales in the past 3 or 12 months, indicating no significant insider-driven momentum at this time.

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What This Means for Investors

ASML’s current valuation presents a classic case of a high-quality growth stock trading at a significant premium to its intrinsic value as measured by GF Value™. While the company’s fundamentals are outstanding—with top-tier profitability, growth, and financial strength—the 45.5% overvaluation and elevated P/E ratio suggest investors should carefully consider whether the expected future growth justifies the current price. The positive guru ownership trend adds a layer of institutional endorsement but does not eliminate valuation risk. Investors seeking exposure to semiconductor innovation may find ASML compelling but should remain mindful of the valuation headwinds. For a deeper dive into ASML’s financials and valuation, visit the ASML stock page.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is ASML's GF Score™?

ASML’s GF Score™ is 91 out of 100, reflecting strong financial health, excellent profitability, and robust growth metrics, though tempered by a relatively high valuation.

Is ASML overvalued or undervalued?

ASML is significantly overvalued, trading 45.5% above its GF Value™ of $1,196.15, indicating the current price may be pricing in very optimistic future performance.

What is ASML's P/E ratio compared to historical?

ASML’s trailing P/E ratio is 54.41x, substantially higher than its five-year median P/E of 39.25x, suggesting the stock is trading at a premium relative to its historical valuation range.

This stock alert was generated using automated technology and GuruFocus financial data to provide readers with timely and accurate market reporting. This content was reviewed by GuruFocus editorial team prior to publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected].

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.