Bernstein Calls Direct-to-Device SpaceX's Hardest Business

Starship launches of the Mobile V2 constellation begin in mid-2027

Summary
  • Bernstein held Outperform and $248 while calling direct-to-device the hardest part of SpaceX's business, a segment it has questioned before.
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Bernstein SocGen reiterated an Outperform rating and $248 price target on SpaceX SPCX, while calling direct-to-device mobile the most difficult part of the business to make work. SpaceX shares were up 0.93% intraday.

The note came from the firm's US communications infrastructure and telecom teams, and works through what a SpaceX mobile buildout would cost and what it would mean for carriers and tower operators. SpaceX plans to begin Starship launches of its Mobile V2 satellite constellation in mid-2027. Bernstein had already questioned whether direct-to-device economics hold up without a terrestrial partner in an earlier report on the same subject.

Bernstein stayed positive on launch services, orbital data centers, and Starlink broadband across consumer, enterprise and government customers. SpaceX generated $23 billion in revenue over the trailing twelve months at a 52% gross margin and is not yet profitable. The spread on the street is wide, with targets running from $117 to $450 against a stock that listed in June at $135.

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