Revenue per Share Consistency
How steadily revenue per share has progressed over the past ten fiscal years. Per-share framing controls for share issuance and buybacks, so the signal reflects the business, not the share count.
Learn more ->Top Predictability Rank Stocks — Steady, Reliable Business Histories
Built on 10-year revenue-per-share and EBITDA-per-share consistency · Rated on a 1–5 star scale · Feeds the Profitability Rank and GF Score™ · Last updated: May 13, 2026
What is the Top Predictability Rank Stocks Screener?
Warren Buffett has said the companies he likes are simple businesses he understands, with predictable and proven earnings, that trade at a reasonable price. "Simple businesses" is hard to quantify, so the GuruFocus Predictability Rank focuses on the next criterion — how consistently a company has grown its fundamentals over time. It rates the stability and reliability of revenue per share and EBITDA per share over the past ten fiscal years, on a 1-to-5 star scale. A 4- or 5-star rank indicates strong long-term consistency.
The rank emerged from GuruFocus's 1998–2008 back-test of Buffett's "good companies at fair prices" strategy: grouping companies by how predictable their fundamentals had been, then measuring subsequent returns. More-predictable businesses delivered materially better long-term stock performance, which is why Predictability Rank also feeds directly into the Profitability Rank and the composite GF Score. This screener surfaces the highest-rated names — companies that have grown steadily for a decade rather than in fits and starts.
SCREENING CRITERIA
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Predictability Rank of 4.5 stars or higher
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10-year revenue-per-share consistency
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10-year EBITDA-per-share consistency
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Reliable long-term trend line
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One of Buffett's quantifiable criteria
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Feeds Profitability Rank and GF Score
Top Predictability Rank Performance
+198.3%
vs S&P 500
+334.9%
Total Return since Jan 2016
A $10,000 investment compounded to $29,834 — nearly 0.6× the S&P 500's return of +334.9%.
Historical Return Total Return%: +198.34%
Top Predictability Rank Stocks Right Now
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How the Top Predictability Rank Screen Works
Each company is rated 1–5 stars on the consistency of its 10-year per-share fundamentals. The top of the distribution — 4.5 and 5 stars — forms the Top Predictability Rank list. Ranks refresh as new fiscal data comes in.
EBITDA per Share Consistency
How steadily EBITDA per share has progressed over the same ten-year window. EBITDA isolates core operating performance from capital structure and tax effects, giving a cleaner read on operating durability.
Learn more ->10-Year Historical Window
The rank looks back ten full fiscal years — long enough to span at least one economic cycle. A company that grew cleanly through both expansions and slowdowns scores higher than one that grew only in good times.
Learn more ->1-to-5 Star Scale
Unlike the other GuruFocus ranks (which run 1–10), Predictability is rated on 1–5 stars. A 4- or 5-star rank indicates strong long-term consistency; 1- or 2-star names typically have lumpy, cyclical, or restructuring histories.
Learn more ->Buffett Connection
"Predictable and proven earnings" is one of Buffett's three quantifiable criteria for the businesses he favors. GuruFocus back-tested the 1998–2008 period and found that more-predictable businesses meaningfully outperformed less-predictable ones.
Learn more ->Feeds Profitability Rank and GF Score
Predictability is one of the inputs to the Profitability Rank composite and therefore flows into the overall GF Score. Durable, predictable businesses tend to rank well across multiple GuruFocus quality dimensions.
Learn more ->Frequently Asked Questions
The Predictability Rank is a 1-to-5 star rating that measures how consistently a company has grown its revenue per share and EBITDA per share over the past ten fiscal years. Higher-star names have steadier, more reliable long-term trend lines, which historically has been a marker of business quality.
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