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Boulder Brands (Boulder Brands) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-2.14 (As of Sep15)


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What is Boulder Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep15, Boulder Brands's earnings power value is $-2.14. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Boulder Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Boulder Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Boulder Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Boulder Brands Annual Data
Trend Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.87 -1.40 -3.03 -4.04 -6.38

Boulder Brands Quarterly Data
Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.45 -6.38 -6.44 -2.10 -2.14

Competitive Comparison of Boulder Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Boulder Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Boulder Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Boulder Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Boulder Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Boulder Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Boulder Brands's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 412.9
DDA 15.9
Operating Margin % 0.99
SGA * 25% 33.1
Tax Rate % 46.71
Maintenance Capex 11.8
Cash and Cash Equivalents 23.9
Short-Term Debt 1.1
Long-Term Debt 287.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 63.1

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.99%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $412.9 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.99%, Average Adjusted SGA = 33.1,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 412.9 * 0.99% +33.1 = $37.184852685 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 46.71%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $37.184852685 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 37.184852685 * ( 1 - 46.71% ) = $19.816179844363 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 15.9 * 0.5 * 46.71% = $3.718783744 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 19.816179844363 + 3.718783744 = $23.534963588363 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Boulder Brands's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $11.8 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Boulder Brands's current cash and cash equivalent = $23.9 Mil.
Boulder Brands's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 287.8 + 1.1 = $288.917 Mil.
Boulder Brands's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 63.1 Mil.

Boulder Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep15 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 23.534963588363 - 11.8)/ 9%+23.9-288.917 )/63.1
=-2.14

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -2.1395032691952-11.03 )/-2.1395032691952
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Boulder Brands  (NAS:BDBD) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Boulder Brands Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Boulder Brands's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Boulder Brands (Boulder Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Boulder Brands Inc, a Delaware corporation was incorporated on May 31, 2005. The Company was formerly known as Smart Balance, Inc. The Company is a marketer of functional food products under the Smart Balance, Earth Balance and Bestlife trademarks. Its products are sold in mass merchandise, grocery, natural food, and club stores throughout the U.S. and Canada. The Company's health and wellness platform consists of brands that target specific health trends: the Glutino and Udi's Gluten Free brands for gluten-free diets; the Earth Balance brand for plant-based diets; the Level Life brand for diabetic diets; EVOL foods for consumers seeking pure and simple ingredients; and the Smart Balance brand for heart healthier diets. The Company distributes its products in all key retail channels, including natural, grocery, club and mass merchandise, and also has a presence in the foodservice and industrial channels. Its business consists of two reportable segments: Smart Balance and Natural. The Natural segment consists of its Glutino, Udi's, Earth Balance and EVOL branded products. The Smart Balance segment consists of its Smart Balance branded products in spreads, butter, grocery and milk and its Level Life products. A majority of its products are sold through supermarket chains and food wholesalers. Its products are available in all 50 states. The Company's products compete with branded products as well as generic and private-label products of food retailers, wholesalers and cooperatives. The Company attempts to protect its intellectual property rights through a combination of patent, trademark, copyright, and trade secret laws, as well as licensing agreements, third-party confidentiality, nondisclosure, and assignment agreements, and by policing third-party misuses of its intellectual property. The manufacturing, packaging, labeling, advertising, distribution and sale of its products are subject to regulation by various government agencies.
Executives
Benjamin D Chereskin director THREE FIRST NATIONAL PLAZA STE 3800, CHICAGO IL 60602
Christine Sacco officer: CFO and Assistant Treasurer C/O SMART BALANCE, INC., 115 WEST CENTURY ROAD, SUITE 260, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Richard Dean Hollis director 3603 HAVEN AVENUE, SUITE E, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Timothy Richard Kraft officer: See Remarks THE SIMPLY GOOD FOODS COMPANY, 1225 17TH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Gerald J Laber director C/O APPLIED FILMS CORPORATION, 9586 I-25 FRONTAGE ROAD, LONGMONT CO 80504
Adage Capital Partners Gp, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Adage Capital Partners, L.p. 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Phillip Gross 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Robert Atchinson 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Adage Capital Advisors, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Alan S Gever officer: Executive VP and CFO 115 WEST CENTURY ROAD, SUITE 260, PARAMUS NJ 07652
Capital Management Oss 10 percent owner 598 MADISON AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Glenn J Krevlin 10 percent owner 600 FIFTH AVE, 11TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10020
Glenhill Advisors Llc 10 percent owner 600 FIFTH AVE, 11TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10020
Glenhill Capital Management Llc 10 percent owner 600 FIFTH AV, 11TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10020

Boulder Brands (Boulder Brands) Headlines

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