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Century Bancorp (Century Bancorp) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $10.53 (As of Sep21)


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What is Century Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep21, Century Bancorp's earnings power value is $10.53. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -995.12

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Century Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Century Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Century Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Century Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.16 12.23 21.60 -19.97 19.75

Century Bancorp Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.00 19.75 17.49 15.15 10.53

Competitive Comparison of Century Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Century Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Century Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Century Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Century Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Century Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Century Bancorp's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 113.5
DDA 0.7
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 13.6
Tax Rate % 11.03
Maintenance Capex 6.2
Cash and Cash Equivalents 301.9
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 154.9
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 7.5

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $113.5 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 13.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 113.5 * 0.00% +13.6 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 11.03%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 11.03% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.7 * 0.5 * 11.03% = $0.0376554975 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.0376554975 = $0.0376554975 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Century Bancorp's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $6.2 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Century Bancorp's current cash and cash equivalent = $301.9 Mil.
Century Bancorp's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 154.9 + 0.0 = $154.869 Mil.
Century Bancorp's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 7.5 Mil.

Century Bancorp's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.0376554975 - 6.2)/ 9%+301.9-154.869 )/7.5
=10.53

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 10.527633357899-115.29 )/10.527633357899
= -995.12%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Century Bancorp  (NAS:CNBKA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Century Bancorp Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Century Bancorp (Century Bancorp) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
400 Mystic Avenue, Medford, MA, USA, 02155
Century Bancorp Inc is a commercial bank that provides a range of services to commercial enterprises, state and local governments and agencies, non-profit organizations and individuals. It makes commercial loans, real estate and construction loans and consumer loans, and accepts savings, time, and demand deposits. The bank also offers its corporate and institutional customers automated lockbox collection services, cash management services and account reconciliation services, and actively promotes the marketing of these services to the municipal market. Century Bancorp earns its revenue from interest income.
Executives
Barry R Sloane director, officer: Chairman, CEO and President 5 SPINNAKER DRIVE, PO BOX 247, BARRINGTON RI 02806
James J Filler 10 percent owner 2964 SHOOK HILL PARKWAY, BIRMINGHAM AL 35223
Paul A Evangelista officer: Executive Vice President CENTURY BANK & TRUST CO 400 MYSTIC AVE MEDFORD MA 02155
Linda Sloane Kay director, officer: Vice Chair 400 MYSTIC AVENUE MEDFORD MA 02155
Stephen R Delinsky director 400 MYSTIC AVENUE MEDFORD MA 02155
Brian J. Feeney officer: Executive Vice President 400 MYSTIC AVENUE MEDFORD MA 02155
William P Hornby officer: CFO and Treasurer 400 MYSTIC AVENUE MEDFORD MA 02155
Louis J Grossman director 400 MYSTIC AVENUR MEDFORD MA 02155
Joseph J Senna director
Sloane Family Enterprises, Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 400 MYSTIC AVE MEDFORD MA 02155
Jo Ann Simons director 400 MYSTIC AVENUE MEDFORD MA 02155
Jackie Jenkins-scott director 400 MYSTIC AVENUE MEDFORD MA 02155
George F Swansburg director
Joseph P Mercurio director BOSTON UNVIERSITY 25 BUICK STREET BOSTON MA 02215
Fraser Lemley director