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Core-Mark Holding Co (Core-Mark Holding Co) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $27.71 (As of Jun21)


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What is Core-Mark Holding Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun21, Core-Mark Holding Co's earnings power value is $27.71. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -64.73

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Core-Mark Holding Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Core-Mark Holding Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Core-Mark Holding Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Core-Mark Holding Co Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.90 12.69 21.06 22.12 26.88

Core-Mark Holding Co Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.86 24.93 26.88 29.02 27.71

Competitive Comparison of Core-Mark Holding Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Core-Mark Holding Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Core-Mark Holding Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Core-Mark Holding Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Core-Mark Holding Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Core-Mark Holding Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Core-Mark Holding Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 16,394
DDA 60
Operating Margin % 0.49
SGA * 25% 194
Tax Rate % 30.69
Maintenance Capex 31
Cash and Cash Equivalents 34
Short-Term Debt 31
Long-Term Debt 603
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 46

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.49%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $16,394 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.49%, Average Adjusted SGA = 194,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 16,394 * 0.49% +194 = $273.5199372 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 30.69%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $273.5199372 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 273.5199372 * ( 1 - 30.69% ) = $189.58213887206 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 60 * 0.5 * 30.69% = $9.1879872 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 189.58213887206 + 9.1879872 = $198.77012607206 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Core-Mark Holding Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $31 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Core-Mark Holding Co's current cash and cash equivalent = $34 Mil.
Core-Mark Holding Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 603 + 31 = $634.3 Mil.
Core-Mark Holding Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 46 Mil.

Core-Mark Holding Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun21 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 198.77012607206 - 31)/ 9%+34-634.3 )/46
=27.71

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 27.712069858868-45.65 )/27.712069858868
= -64.73%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Core-Mark Holding Co  (NAS:CORE) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Core-Mark Holding Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Core-Mark Holding Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Core-Mark Holding Co (Core-Mark Holding Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1500 Solana Boulevard, Suite 3400, Westlake, TX, USA, 76262
Core-Mark Holding Co Inc is a wholesale distributor to the convenience retail industry in North America, providing sales, marketing, distribution, and logistics services to customers across the United States and Canada. The company offers customers a wide range of branded and private label products including cigarettes, food, candy, health and beauty products, and beverages. Geographically, it generates a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Christopher M Miller officer: Senior VP & CFO 200 FOURTH ST OAKLAND CA 94607
Scott E Mcpherson director, officer: President and CEO 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD, SUITE 415, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Alan T Thomas officer: SVP, Western Divisions 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD SUITE 415 SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Jennifer Hulett officer: Senior VP and Chief HR Officer 1500 SOLANA BLVD., SUITE 3400, WESTLAKE TX 76262
Christopher M Murray officer: SVP - Marketing 1500 SOLANA BLVD SUITE 3400 WESTLAKE TX 76262
Diane Randolph director 1500 SOLANA BLVD, SUITE 3400, WESTLAKE TX 76262
Stuart W Booth director C/O CENTRAL GARDEN & PET CO, 3697 MT DIABLO BLVD STE 310, LAFAYETTE CA 94549
David Jackson Lawrence officer: VP - Treasury & IR 1500 SOLANA BLVD BUILDING 3, SUITE 3400 WESTLAKE TX 76262
Jordana Daryl Kammerud officer: Senior VP and Chief HR Officer ONE RIVERFRONT PLAZA, CORNING NY 14831
Laura Jean Flanagan director 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD, SUITE 415, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Christopher Hobson officer: Senior VP US Distribution East 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD. SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
William Stein officer: Senior VP Enterprise Growth 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Eric Rolheiser officer: President - Canada Operations 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD. SUITE 415 SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Rocky Dewbre director 46 FLORHAM PARK DR., SPRING TX 77379
Harvey L Tepner director 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SUITE 415, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080

Core-Mark Holding Co (Core-Mark Holding Co) Headlines

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