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Cooper-Standard Holdings (Cooper-Standard Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-141.09 (As of Dec23)


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What is Cooper-Standard Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Cooper-Standard Holdings's earnings power value is $-141.09. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Cooper-Standard Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cooper-Standard Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cooper-Standard Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Cooper-Standard Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.07 -41.67 -104.79 -140.38 -141.09

Cooper-Standard Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -140.38 -150.54 -153.06 -142.58 -141.09

Competitive Comparison of Cooper-Standard Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Cooper-Standard Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cooper-Standard Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cooper-Standard Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cooper-Standard Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Cooper-Standard Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Cooper-Standard Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 2,631
DDA 136
Operating Margin % -3.48
SGA * 25% 62
Tax Rate % -5.32
Maintenance Capex 93
Cash and Cash Equivalents 155
Short-Term Debt 69
Long-Term Debt 1,121
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 17

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -3.48%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $2,631 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -3.48%, Average Adjusted SGA = 62,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 2,631 * -3.48% +62 = $-29.4323751 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -5.32%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-29.4323751 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -29.4323751 * ( 1 - -5.32% ) = $-30.997294484067 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 136 * 0.5 * -5.32% = $-3.602783249 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -30.997294484067 + -3.602783249 = $-34.600077733067 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Cooper-Standard Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $93 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Cooper-Standard Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $155 Mil.
Cooper-Standard Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,121 + 69 = $1190.507 Mil.
Cooper-Standard Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 17 Mil.

Cooper-Standard Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -34.600077733067 - 93)/ 9%+155-1190.507 )/17
=-141.09

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -141.09378122884-16.00 )/-141.09378122884
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Cooper-Standard Holdings  (NYSE:CPS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Cooper-Standard Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cooper-Standard Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cooper-Standard Holdings (Cooper-Standard Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
40300 Traditions Drive, Northville, MI, USA, 48168
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc is a supplier of rubber and resin products for the automotive industry. The company produces rubber and plastic sealings, fuel and brake lines, fluid transfer hoses, and anti-vibration systems used by original equipment manufacturers and replacement markets for passenger vehicles and light trucks. The largest customers include Ford, GM, FCA, Peugeot Citroen, and Volkswagen. Cooper Standard generates the majority of its revenue with its sealing systems products such as Fortrex, dynamic and static seals, stainless steel trims, flush glass systems, and variable extrusions.
Executives
Maryann Peterson Kanary officer: See remarks 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Amy B. Kulikowski officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Patrick Clark officer: See Remarks 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Somasundhar Venkatasubramanian officer: See remarks 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Jeffrey S Edwards officer: President and CEO 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Larry Ott officer: VP Global HR 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Van Oss Stephen A director
Christopher Couch officer: See Remarks 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Rebecca Mccabe officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, 40300, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Christine M Moore director 411 WEST LAFAYETTE, DETROIT MI 48226
Justin E Mirro director 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
John G. Boss director 260 HUDSON RIVER ROAD, WATERFORD NY 12188
Jeffrey A. Debest officer: See Remarks 39550 ORCHARD HILL PLACE, NOVI MI 48375
Susan P. Kampe officer: See Remarks 39550 ORCHARD HILL PLACE, NOVI MI 48375
Peter C. Brusate officer: Corp. Controller and CAO 39550 ORCHARD HILL PLACE, NOVI MI 48375