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4Front Ventures (4Front Ventures) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-3.37 (As of Dec23)


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What is 4Front Ventures Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, 4Front Ventures's earnings power value is $-3.37. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


4Front Ventures Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for 4Front Ventures's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

4Front Ventures Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

4Front Ventures Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.02 -0.46 -1.59 -2.53 -3.38

4Front Ventures Quarterly Data
Jan19 Apr19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.53 -2.94 -3.12 -3.14 -3.38

Competitive Comparison of 4Front Ventures's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, 4Front Ventures's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


4Front Ventures's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, 4Front Ventures's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where 4Front Ventures's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



4Front Ventures Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

4Front Ventures's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 79.3
DDA 5.9
Operating Margin % -52.62
SGA * 25% 13.0
Tax Rate % -453.17
Maintenance Capex 8.8
Cash and Cash Equivalents 3.4
Short-Term Debt 27.4
Long-Term Debt 182.5
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 656.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -52.62%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $79.3 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -52.62%, Average Adjusted SGA = 13.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 79.3 * -52.62% +13.0 = $-28.664786915 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -453.17%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-28.664786915 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -28.664786915 * ( 1 - -453.17% ) = $-158.56600504525 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 5.9 * 0.5 * -453.17% = $-13.4334220605 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -158.56600504525 + -13.4334220605 = $-171.99942710575 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
4Front Ventures's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $8.8 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. 4Front Ventures's current cash and cash equivalent = $3.4 Mil.
4Front Ventures's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 182.5 + 27.4 = $209.839 Mil.
4Front Ventures's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 656.8 Mil.

4Front Ventures's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -171.99942710575 - 8.8)/ 9%+3.4-209.839 )/656.8
=-3.37

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.3733910070639-0.0969 )/-3.3733910070639
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


4Front Ventures  (OTCPK:FFNTF) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


4Front Ventures Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of 4Front Ventures's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


4Front Ventures (4Front Ventures) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5060 North 40th Street, Suite 120, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85018
4Front Ventures Corp is a Canadian-based company. It is engaged in the cultivation, processing, extracting, manufacturing, and distribution of cannabis products. It operates in two segments: THC Cannabis and CBD Wellness. The THC Cannabis segment engages in the production and cultivation of THC cannabis, manufacturing and distribution of cannabis products to own dispensaries and third-party retail customers. The CBD Wellness segment encompasses the production and sale of CBD products to third-party customers.
Executives
Leonid Gontmakher director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5060 N. 40TH STREET, SUITE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Nicole Frederick officer: See Remarks C/O 4FRONT VENTURES CORP., 7010 E. CHAUNCEY LANE STE. 235, PHOENIX AZ 85054
Kristopher Krane director 5060 N. 40TH STREET, SUITE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
David Ryan Daily director 5060 N 40TH STREET STE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Roman Tkachenko director 5060 N 40TH STREET STE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Karl Chowscano other: Consultant 5060 N. 40TH STREET, SUITE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Chetan Gulati director 28 REICHERT CIRCLE, WESTPORT CT 06880
Keith Edward Adams officer: Chief Financial Officer 108 S. WETHERLY DRIVE, UNIT 4, LOS ANGELES CA 90048
Robert E Hunt director C/O GROWLIFE, INC., 20301 VENTURA BLVD., SUITE 126, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91364
Amit Ramanlal Patel director 3305 PINE AVENUE, MANHATTAN BEACH CA 90266
Kathi P Lentzsch director 5060 N 40TH STREET STE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Andrew Thut officer: Chief Investment Officer 5060 N. 40TH STREET, SUITE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Joseph R Feltham officer: Chief Operating Officer 5060 N. 40TH STREET, STE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Eric J. Rey director ARCADIA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 202 COUSTEAU PLACE, SUITE 105, DAVIS CA 95618
Nicolle Dorsey officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O REAL GOODS SOLAR, INC., 110 16TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, DENVER CO 80202