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Homology Medicines (Homology Medicines) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-1,213.70 (As of Dec23)


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What is Homology Medicines Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Homology Medicines's earnings power value is $-1,213.70. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Homology Medicines Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Homology Medicines's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Homology Medicines Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Homology Medicines Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -898.73 -1,219.30 -1,213.70

Homology Medicines Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1,219.30 -1,251.97 -1,349.43 -1,290.58 -1,213.70

Competitive Comparison of Homology Medicines's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Homology Medicines's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Homology Medicines's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Homology Medicines's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Homology Medicines's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Homology Medicines Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Homology Medicines's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 8.54
DDA 4.90
Operating Margin % -4,239.02
SGA * 25% 8.05
Tax Rate % 0.09
Maintenance Capex 5.50
Cash and Cash Equivalents 82.65
Short-Term Debt 1.32
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 3.22

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -4,239.02%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $8.54 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -4,239.02%, Average Adjusted SGA = 8.05,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 8.54 * -4,239.02% +8.05 = $-353.986814011 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.09%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-353.986814011 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -353.986814011 * ( 1 - 0.09% ) = $-353.6558363399 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 4.90 * 0.5 * 0.09% = $0.0022914045 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -353.6558363399 + 0.0022914045 = $-353.6535449354 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Homology Medicines's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $5.50 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Homology Medicines's current cash and cash equivalent = $82.65 Mil.
Homology Medicines's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 1.32 = $1.318 Mil.
Homology Medicines's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 3.22 Mil.

Homology Medicines's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -353.6535449354 - 5.50)/ 9%+82.65-1.318 )/3.22
=-1,213.70

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -1213.6951772583-0.9347 )/-1213.6951772583
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Homology Medicines  (NAS:FIXX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Homology Medicines Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Homology Medicines (Homology Medicines) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Patriots Park, Bedford, MA, USA, 01730
Homology Medicines Inc is a United States-based genetic medicines company dedicated to transforming the lives of patients suffering from rare genetic diseases with significant unmet medical needs by curing the underlying cause of the disease. Its proprietary platform is designed to utilize its human hematopoietic stem cell derived adeno-associated virus vectors (AAVHSCs) to deliver genetic medicines in vivo either through a gene therapy or nuclease-free gene editing modality across a range of genetic disorders.
Executives
Paul Alloway officer: See Remarks C/O HOMOLOGY MEDICINES, INC., 45 WIGGINS AVENUE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Albert Seymour officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O HOMOLOGY MEDICINES, INC., ONE PATRIOTS PARK, BEDFORD MA 01730
Julie Jordan officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O HOMOLOGY MEDICINES, INC., ONE PATRIOTS PARK, BEDFORD MA 01730
Michael Lee Blum officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O HOMOLOGY MEDICINES, INC., 45 WIGGINS AVENUE, BEDFORD MA 01730
W Bradford Smith officer: CFO, Treasurer & Secretary C/O HOMOLOGY MEDICINES, INC., ONE PATRIOTS PARK, BEDFORD MA 01730
Arthur Tzianabos director, officer: President & CEO C/O HOMOLOGY MEDICINES, INC., ONE PATRIOTS PARK, BEDFORD MA 01730
Timothy P Kelly officer: See Remarks C/O HOMOLOGY MEDICINES, INC., ONE PATRIOTS PARK, BEDFORD MA 01730
Gabriel Cohn officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O HOMOLOGY MEDICINES, INC., ONE PATRIOTS PARK, BEDFORD MA 01730
Kush Parmar director, 10 percent owner C/O 5AM VENTURES, 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
5am Ventures Iv, L.p. 10 percent owner 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Jeffrey V. Poulton director 300 THIRD STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
James E Flynn director, 10 percent owner, other: *Director by Deputization 780 THIRD AVENUE, 37TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Alise Reicin director C/O CELGENE CORPORATION, 86 MORRIS AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Siyamak Rasty officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O HOMOLOGY MEDICINES, INC., ONE PATRIOTS PARK, BEDFORD MA 01730
Vida Ventures, Llc 10 percent owner 40 BROAD STREET, SUITE 201, BOSTON MA 02109

Homology Medicines (Homology Medicines) Headlines

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