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Ingram Micro (Ingram Micro) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $40.25 (As of Sep16)


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What is Ingram Micro Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep16, Ingram Micro's earnings power value is $40.25. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Ingram Micro Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ingram Micro's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ingram Micro Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Ingram Micro Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.83 24.99 35.38 33.95 39.70

Ingram Micro Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 39.17 39.70 40.87 39.32 40.25

Competitive Comparison of Ingram Micro's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Electronics & Computer Distribution subindustry, Ingram Micro's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ingram Micro's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Ingram Micro's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ingram Micro's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Ingram Micro Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Ingram Micro's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 41,907
DDA 133
Operating Margin % 1.10
SGA * 25% 479
Tax Rate % 28.17
Maintenance Capex 86
Cash and Cash Equivalents 689
Short-Term Debt 534
Long-Term Debt 793
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 152

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 1.10%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $41,907 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 1.10%, Average Adjusted SGA = 479,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 41,907 * 1.10% +479 = $939.123471456 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 28.17%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $939.123471456 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 939.123471456 * ( 1 - 28.17% ) = $674.60056325099 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 133 * 0.5 * 28.17% = $18.708859404 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 674.60056325099 + 18.708859404 = $693.30942265499 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Ingram Micro's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $86 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Ingram Micro's current cash and cash equivalent = $689 Mil.
Ingram Micro's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 793 + 534 = $1326.789 Mil.
Ingram Micro's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 152 Mil.

Ingram Micro's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep16 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 693.30942265499 - 86)/ 9%+689-1326.789 )/152
=40.25

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 40.249860864632-38.89 )/40.249860864632
= 3.38%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Ingram Micro  (NYSE:IM) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Ingram Micro Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ingram Micro's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ingram Micro (Ingram Micro) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Ingram Micro Inc is incorporated in 1979 in Delaware. The Company is a wholesale technology distributor, by net sales, and a global leader in supply-chain management and mobile device lifecycle services. It distributes and markets technology and mobility products from companies, such as Acer, Apple, Cisco, Citrix, Hewlett-Packard (HP), IBM, Lenovo, Microsoft, Samsung, Symantec, VMware and many others. As a vital link in the technology value chain, it create sales and profitability opportunities for vendors, resellers and other customers through unique marketing programs; outsourced logistics and mobile device lifecycle solutions; technical support; financial services; product aggregation and distribution; solutions creation and cloud service models. The Company has operations in 39 countries, spanning all global regions: North America (United States and Canada), Europe (Austria, Belgium, Denmark, France, Finland, Germany, Hungary, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom), Asia-Pacific (which includes MEA) (Australia, the People's Republic of China (including Hong Kong), Egypt, India, Indonesia, Israel, Lebanon, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Africa, Thailand, Turkey and United Arab Emirates) and Latin America (Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru). The Company also operates support centers in Argentina, Bulgaria, Costa Rica, India, Philippines and Puerto Rico. Additionally, it serves many other markets where it does not have an in-country presence through its various export sales offices, including its general telesales operations in numerous markets. The Company sells its products and services to a global customer base of more than 200,000 customers in more than 170 countries. The Company distributes and markets technology products internationally from the industry's computer hardware suppliers, mobility hardware suppliers, networking equipment suppliers, software publishers, and other suppliers of computer peripherals, CE, AIDC/POS and physical security products. The Company faces competition in particular sector which includes Avnet and Arrow in components and enterprise products; Westcon in networking and security; D&H Distributing, ADI, and Petra in consumer electronics; ScanSource and Bluestar in AIDC/POS products; and Brightpoint, Brightstar and 20:20 Mobile Group Limited in mobility products.
Executives
Scott A Mcgregor director 5300 CALIFORNIA AVENUE, IRVINE CA 92617
William David Humes officer: Chief Financial Officer INGRAM MICRO INC., 1600 E. ST. ANDREW PLACE, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Wade Oosterman director C/O INGRAM MICRO INC., 1600 E. ST. ANDREW PLACE, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Heisz Leslie Stone director C/O PUBLIC STORAGE, 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201
Linda Fayne Levinson director C/O JACOBS ENGINEERING GROUP INC, 1111 S ARROYO PKWY, PASADENA CA 91105
Dale R Laurance director
Howard I Atkins director OCCIDENTAL PETROLEUM CORPORATION, 5 GREENWAY PLAZA, STE 110, HOUSTON TX 77046
David A Barnes director 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY NE, ATLANTA GA 30328
Carol Mills Baldwin director 600 TELEPHONE AVENUE, MS#65, ANCHORAGE AK 99503
Alain Monie director, officer: Director and CEO WORLDWIDE LEGAL DEPT 1600 E ST, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Paul Read officer: President & COO MANPOWERGROUP INC., 100 MANPOWER PLACE, MILWAUKEE WI 53212
Lynn Jolliffe officer: EVP, Human Resources INGRAM MICRO INC., 1600 EAST SAINT ANDREW PLACE, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Ernest Park officer: Sr. EVP, CIO C/O INGRAM MICRO INC., 1600 E. ST. ANDREW PLACE, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Michael T Smith director 190 NW SPANISH RIVER BOULEVARD, SUITE 101, BOCA RATON FL 33431
Ingram Orrin H Ii director C/O FB FNIANCIAL CORPORATION, 1221 BROADWAY, SUITE 1300, NASHVILLE TN 37203

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