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Kennedy-Wilson Holdings (Kennedy-Wilson Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-54.56 (As of Dec23)


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What is Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's earnings power value is $-54.56. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -41.74 -48.07 -56.21 -55.76 -54.56

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -55.76 -57.85 -54.80 -54.12 -54.56

Competitive Comparison of Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 515.8
DDA 172.8
Operating Margin % -5.22
SGA * 25% 47.2
Tax Rate % -112.58
Maintenance Capex 179.7
Cash and Cash Equivalents 313.7
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 5,298.0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 139.0

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -5.22%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $515.8 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -5.22%, Average Adjusted SGA = 47.2,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 515.8 * -5.22% +47.2 = $20.274924 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -112.58%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $20.274924 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 20.274924 * ( 1 - -112.58% ) = $43.10114306154 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 172.8 * 0.5 * -112.58% = $-97.2946607 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 43.10114306154 + -97.2946607 = $-54.19351763846 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $179.7 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $313.7 Mil.
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 5,298.0 + 0.0 = $5298 Mil.
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 139.0 Mil.

Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -54.19351763846 - 179.7)/ 9%+313.7-5298 )/139.0
=-54.56

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -54.561203783397-8.545 )/-54.561203783397
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Kennedy-Wilson Holdings  (NYSE:KW) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kennedy-Wilson Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kennedy-Wilson Holdings (Kennedy-Wilson Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
151 S El Camino Drive, Beverly Hills, CA, USA, 90212
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc is a real estate investment company that owns, operates, and invests in real estate both on its own and through its investment management platform. The Company focuses on multifamily and office properties, as well as industrial and debt investments. It has two business segments; Consolidated Portfolio includes investment activities that involve ownership of multifamily units, office, retail and industrial space, and one hotel, and The Co-Investment Portfolio segment consists of investments the Company makes with partners in which it receives fees, performance allocations that it earns on its fee-bearing capital and distributions and profits from its ownership interest in the underlying operations of its co-investments.
Executives
William J Mcmorrow director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 530 WILSHIRE BLVD, STE 101, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Michael John Pegler officer: President KW Europe 151 S EL CAMINO DRIVE, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Regina Wambold Finnegan officer: EVP, Risk Management and HR 151 S EL CAMINO DRIVE, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Todd L Boehly director 600 STEAMBOAT ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Boucher Richard Aidan Hugh director 151 S EL CAMINO DRIVE, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Wade Burton director 151 S EL CAMINO DRIVE, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Stanley R Zax director ZENITH NATIONAL INSURANCE, 21255 CALIFA STREET, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Mary Ricks officer: Co-CEO of KW Com Invt Group
Watsa V Prem Et Al 10 percent owner 95 WELLINGTON STREET WEST, SUITE 800, TORONTO A6 M5J 2N7
Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd/ Can 10 percent owner FAIRFAX FINANCIAL HOLDINGS LTD, 95 WELLINGTON ST WEST STE 800, TORONTO A6 M5J 2N7
Second 1109 Holdco Ltd. 10 percent owner 95 WELLINGTON ST W STE 800, TORONTO A6 M5J 2N7
Sixty Two Investment Co Ltd 10 percent owner 1600 CATHEDRAL PLACE, 925 W GEORGIA ST, VANCOUVER BC CANADA A1 V6C3L3
Justin Enbody officer: Chief Financial Officer 9701 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 700, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Kent Y Mouton director C/O KENNEDY WILSON INC, 9601 WILSHIRE BLVD STE 220, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Cathy Hendrickson director 9701 WILSHIRE BLVD., SUITE 700, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210