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Lee Enterprises (Lee Enterprises) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $121.33 (As of Dec23)


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What is Lee Enterprises Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Lee Enterprises's earnings power value is $121.33. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 89.62

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Lee Enterprises Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lee Enterprises's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lee Enterprises Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Lee Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 160.14 130.60 124.13 126.74 126.65

Lee Enterprises Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 104.90 105.19 103.82 126.65 121.33

Competitive Comparison of Lee Enterprises's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Publishing subindustry, Lee Enterprises's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lee Enterprises's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Lee Enterprises's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lee Enterprises's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Lee Enterprises Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Lee Enterprises's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 682.8
DDA 35.0
Operating Margin % 8.68
SGA * 25% 67.7
Tax Rate % 11.77
Maintenance Capex 6.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 15.4
Short-Term Debt 7.6
Long-Term Debt 488.3
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 5.9

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 8.68%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $682.8 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 8.68%, Average Adjusted SGA = 67.7,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 682.8 * 8.68% +67.7 = $126.984962033 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 11.77%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $126.984962033 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 126.984962033 * ( 1 - 11.77% ) = $112.03819707691 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 35.0 * 0.5 * 11.77% = $2.0626271085 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 112.03819707691 + 2.0626271085 = $114.10082418541 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Lee Enterprises's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $6.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Lee Enterprises's current cash and cash equivalent = $15.4 Mil.
Lee Enterprises's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 488.3 + 7.6 = $495.923 Mil.
Lee Enterprises's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 5.9 Mil.

Lee Enterprises's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 114.10082418541 - 6.0)/ 9%+15.4-495.923 )/5.9
=121.33

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 121.3331165495-12.60 )/121.3331165495
= 89.62%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Lee Enterprises  (NAS:LEE) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Lee Enterprises Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lee Enterprises's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Lee Enterprises (Lee Enterprises) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4600 E 53rd Street, Davenport, IA, USA, 52807
Lee Enterprises Inc is a local news publication company in the United States. It is a digital-first subscription business providing local markets with valuable, high quality, trusted, intensely local news, information, advertising and marketing services. Its product portfolio includes digital subscription platforms, daily, weekly and monthly newspapers and niche products, all delivering original local news and information as well as national and international news. The products offer digital and print editions, and its content and advertising is available in real time through the websites and mobile apps.
Executives
Shaun Mcalmont director C/O LINCOLN EDUCATIONAL SERVICES CORP., 200 EXECUTIVE DRIVE, SUITE 340, WEST ORANGE NJ 07052
Moloney Herbert W Iii director 215 N MAIN STREET, SUITE 400, DAVENPORT IA 52801
Steven C. Fletcher director C/O LEE ENTERPRISES, INCORPORATED, 4600 EAST 53RD STREET, DAVENPORT IA 52807
Margaret R. Liberman director C/O LEE ENTERPRISES, INCORPORATED, 201 N. HARRISON STREET, STE. 600, DAVENPORT IA 52801
David T. Pearson director C/O VONAGE HOLDINGS CORP, 23 MAIN STREET, HOLMDEL NJ 07733
Jolene N. Sherman officer: V.P. - Business Development C/O LEE ENTERPRISES, INCORPORATED, 4600 E. 53RD STREET, DAVENPORT IA 52807
Joseph J Battistoni officer: VP - Local Advertising C/O LEE ENTERPRISES, INCORPORATED, 4600 E. 53RD STREET, DAVENPORT IA 52807
Astrid J Garcia officer: VP - Human Resources & Legal C/O LEE ENTERPRISES, INCORPORATED, 4600 E. 53RD STREET, DAVENPORT IA 52807
Cannell Capital Llc 10 percent owner 245 MERIWETHER CIRCLE, ALTA WY 83414
Nancy S Donovan director
William E Mayer director C/O LEE ENTERPRISES INC, 201 N. HARRISON ST., STE. 600, DAVENPORT IA 52801
Ray G Farris officer: V.P. & Group Publisher C/O LEE ENTERPRISES, INCORPORATED, 201 N HARRISON STREET, STE. 600, DAVENPORT IA 52801
Gregory P Schermer director, 10 percent owner, officer: Vice Pres.-Interactive Media C/O LEE ENTERPRISES INCORPORATED, 215 N MAIN STREET STE 400, DAVENPORT IA 52801
Timothy R. Millage officer: V.P., CFO and Treasurer C/O LEE ENTERPRISES, INCORPORATED, 201 N HARRISON STREET, STE. 600, DAVENPORT IA 52801
Michael R Gulledge officer: Vice President - Publishing C/O LEE ENTERPRISES, INCORPORATED, 201 N. HARRISON STREET, DAVENPORT IA 52801-1939