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MillerKnoll (MillerKnoll) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $15.66 (As of Feb24)


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What is MillerKnoll Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Feb24, MillerKnoll's earnings power value is $15.66. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -77.92

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


MillerKnoll Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MillerKnoll's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MillerKnoll Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

MillerKnoll Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.65 32.81 39.15 10.67 11.42

MillerKnoll Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.02 11.42 13.23 15.01 15.66

Competitive Comparison of MillerKnoll's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, MillerKnoll's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MillerKnoll's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, MillerKnoll's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MillerKnoll's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



MillerKnoll Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

MillerKnoll's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,279
DDA 128
Operating Margin % 5.77
SGA * 25% 231
Tax Rate % 30.58
Maintenance Capex 69
Cash and Cash Equivalents 224
Short-Term Debt 112
Long-Term Debt 1,646
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 74

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 5.77%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,279 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 5.77%, Average Adjusted SGA = 231,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,279 * 5.77% +231 = $420.5392043 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 30.58%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $420.5392043 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 420.5392043 * ( 1 - 30.58% ) = $291.94672640915 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 128 * 0.5 * 30.58% = $19.5943824 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 291.94672640915 + 19.5943824 = $311.54110880915 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
MillerKnoll's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $69 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. MillerKnoll's current cash and cash equivalent = $224 Mil.
MillerKnoll's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,646 + 112 = $1757.6 Mil.
MillerKnoll's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 74 Mil.

MillerKnoll's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Feb24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 311.54110880915 - 69)/ 9%+224-1757.6 )/74
=15.66

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 15.658565463673-27.86 )/15.658565463673
= -77.92%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


MillerKnoll  (NAS:MLKN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


MillerKnoll Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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MillerKnoll (MillerKnoll) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
855 East Main Avenue, P.O. Box 302, Zeeland, MI, USA, 49464
MillerKnoll Inc, formerly Herman Miller Inc researches, designs, manufactures, sells, and distributes interior furnishings across the globe. The Company has three reportable segments: Americas Contract , International Contract & Specialty International & Specialty and Global Retail. The company's products are sold through a variety of sources, including owned and independent contract furniture dealers, direct customer sales, owned and independent retailers, direct-mail catalogs, and the company's online stores. The independent retailer division generates the majority of the firm's overall sales.
Executives
Jeffrey M Stutz officer: TreasVPInvst Relatn 855 EAST MAIN, ZEELAND MI 49464
Mike C. Smith director STITCH FIX, INC., ONE MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 1500, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Michael A Volkema director
Michael R Smith director 18 LOVETON CIRCLE, SPARKS MD 21152
Lisa A Kro director 3700 WELLS FARGO CENTER, 90 SOUTH 7TH STREET, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Megan Lyon other: Chief Strategy Officer 855 EAST MAIN, ZEELAND MI 49464
Andi Owen officer: President & CEO 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Richard Scott other: Chief Mfg and Ops Officer 855 EAST MAIN, ZEELAND MI 49464
Bruce Benedict Watson other: Executive Creative Director 855 EAST MAIN, ZEELAND MI 49464
Kartik Shethia other: President - Intl Contract 855 EAST MAIN AVE, ZEELAND MI 49464
Jeffrey L. Kurburski other: VP Information Tech 855 EAST MAIN, ZEELAND MI 49464
Christopher M Baldwin other: Group President, MillerKnoll C/O KNOLL INC, 1235 WATER STREET, EAST GREENVILLE PA 18041
Jennifer K. Nicol other: Chief People Officer 855 EAST MAIN AVE, ZEELAND MI 49464
John P Michael officer: President, N America Contract 855 EAST MAIN, ZEELAND MI 49464
Debbie F Propst officer: President - HM Consumer 855 EAST MAIN, ZEELAND MI 49464