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Caesars Entertainment (Caesars Entertainment) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $68.90 (As of Mar24)


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What is Caesars Entertainment Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Caesars Entertainment's earnings power value is $68.90. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 47.49

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Caesars Entertainment Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caesars Entertainment's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caesars Entertainment Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Caesars Entertainment Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -96.68 -137.67 -162.21 -91.75 3.96

Caesars Entertainment Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -32.19 42.57 51.46 3.96 68.90

Competitive Comparison of Caesars Entertainment's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Caesars Entertainment's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caesars Entertainment's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Caesars Entertainment's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caesars Entertainment's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Caesars Entertainment Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Caesars Entertainment's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 8,036
DDA 933
Operating Margin % 13.17
SGA * 25% 383
Tax Rate % -164.62
Maintenance Capex 668
Cash and Cash Equivalents 726
Short-Term Debt 94
Long-Term Debt 12,171
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 216

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 13.17%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $8,036 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 13.17%, Average Adjusted SGA = 383,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 8,036 * 13.17% +383 = $1441.565964898 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -164.62%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $1441.565964898 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1441.565964898 * ( 1 - -164.62% ) = $3814.715103292 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 933 * 0.5 * -164.62% = $-768.218662059 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 3814.715103292 + -768.218662059 = $3046.496441233 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Caesars Entertainment's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $668 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Caesars Entertainment's current cash and cash equivalent = $726 Mil.
Caesars Entertainment's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 12,171 + 94 = $12265 Mil.
Caesars Entertainment's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 216 Mil.

Caesars Entertainment's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 3046.496441233 - 668)/ 9%+726-12265 )/216
=68.90

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 68.90438483709-36.18 )/68.90438483709
= 47.49%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Caesars Entertainment  (NAS:CZR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Caesars Entertainment Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Caesars Entertainment's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Caesars Entertainment (Caesars Entertainment) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 West Liberty Street, 12th Floor, Reno, NV, USA, 89501
Caesars Entertainment includes about 50 domestic gaming properties across Las Vegas (58% of 2022 EBITDAR before corporate and digital expenses) and regional (59%) markets. Additionally, the company hosts managed properties and digital assets, the later of which produced material EBITDA losses in 2022. Caesars' U.S. presence roughly doubled with the 2020 acquisition by Eldorado, which built its first casino in Reno, Nevada, in 1973 and expanded its presence through prior acquisitions to over 20 properties before merging with legacy Caesars. Caesars' brands include Caesars, Harrah's, Tropicana, Bally's, Isle, and Flamingo. Also, the company owns the U.S. portion of William Hill (it sold the international operation in 2022), a digital sports betting platform.
Executives
Michael E Pegram director PO BOX 285, BURLINGTON WA 98233
Stephanie Lepori officer: CAO & Chief Admin. Officer 100 WEST LIBERTY STREET, SUITE 1150, RENO NV 89501
Thomas Reeg director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 21 WATERWAY AVE, SUITE 150, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
David P Tomick director 100 REGENCY FOREST DR, SUITE 400, CARY NC 27511
Don R Kornstein director DON R KORNSTEIN, 825 LAKESHORE BLVD, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451
Fahrenkopf Frank J Jr director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Mather Courtney director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Sandra Douglass Morgan director 601 RIVERSIDE AVENUE, JACKSONVILLE FL 32204
Quatmann Edmund L Jr officer: See Remarks 600 EMERSON ROAD, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
Josh Jones officer: Chief Marketing Officer 100 W. LIBERTY ST., 12TH FLOOR, RENO NV 89501
Anthony L. Carano officer: President and COO 100 WEST LIBERTY STREET, RENO NV 89501
Gary L. Carano director, officer: Exec. Chairman of the Board 100 WEST LIBERTY STREET, 11TH FLOOR, RENO NV 89501
Bonnie Biumi director RETAIL PROPERTIES OF AMERICA, INC., 2021 SPRING ROAD, SUITE 200, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Jones Blackhurst Janis L director ONE CAESARS PALACE DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
James B Hawkins director C/O IRADIMED CORPORATION, 1025 WILLA SPRINGS DR., WINTER SPRINGS FL 32708