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Drive Shack (Drive Shack) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-10.89 (As of Sep23)


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What is Drive Shack Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep23, Drive Shack's earnings power value is $-10.89. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Drive Shack Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Drive Shack's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Drive Shack Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Drive Shack Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.86 -14.01 -14.07 -10.21 -11.35

Drive Shack Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -11.77 -11.35 -11.33 -11.41 -10.89

Competitive Comparison of Drive Shack's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Leisure subindustry, Drive Shack's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Drive Shack's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Drive Shack's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Drive Shack's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Drive Shack Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Drive Shack's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 289.0
DDA 26.7
Operating Margin % -11.36
SGA * 25% 8.9
Tax Rate % -3.95
Maintenance Capex 45.4
Cash and Cash Equivalents 13.8
Short-Term Debt 23.6
Long-Term Debt 246.7
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 95.8

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -11.36%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $289.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -11.36%, Average Adjusted SGA = 8.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 289.0 * -11.36% +8.9 = $-23.877239186 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -3.95%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-23.877239186 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -23.877239186 * ( 1 - -3.95% ) = $-24.819673816671 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 26.7 * 0.5 * -3.95% = $-0.526821878 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -24.819673816671 + -0.526821878 = $-25.346495694671 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Drive Shack's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $45.4 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Drive Shack's current cash and cash equivalent = $13.8 Mil.
Drive Shack's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 246.7 + 23.6 = $270.339 Mil.
Drive Shack's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 95.8 Mil.

Drive Shack's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -25.346495694671 - 45.4)/ 9%+13.8-270.339 )/95.8
=-10.89

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -10.88804740317-0.275 )/-10.88804740317
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Drive Shack  (OTCPK:DSHK) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Drive Shack Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Drive Shack's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Drive Shack (Drive Shack) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10670 N. Central Expressway, Suite 700, Dallas, TX, USA, 75231
Drive Shack Inc is an owner and operator of golf-related leisure and entertainment businesses. The company conducts its business through three primary segments: Traditional Golf properties, Entertainment Golf venues, and corporate. The Traditional Golf properties segment operates and owns golf properties. The Entertainment Golf venues segment plans to open a chain of gold, competition, dining, and fun. The Corporate segment consists primarily of investments in loans and securities. The majority of the firm's revenue gets derived from the Traditional Golf Properties segment.
Executives
Wesley R Edens director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Hana Khouri officer: President 218 WEST 18TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Stuart A Mcfarland director C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP, 1345 AVE OF THE AMERICAS 46TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10105
Goodfield Lawrence A. Jr. officer: CFO, CAO & Treasurer 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Michael Lee Nichols officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O DRIVE SHACK INC., 218 W. 18TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Acacia Research Corp director 767 3RD AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Virgis Colbert director 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098
Benjamin M Crane director 218 WEST 18TH STREET 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Clifford Press director 152 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
David Hammarley officer: Chief Financial Officer 111 WEST 19TH STREET, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Kenneth A May director, officer: CEO & President 13155 NOEL ROAD, SUITE 1600, THREE GALLERIA TOWER, DALLAS TX 75240
William J Clifford director 845 BERKSHIRE BLVD. SUITE 200, WYOMISSING PA 19610
Alan L. Tyson director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Sara A. Yakin officer: Chief Operating Officer 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Sarah Watterson officer: CEO & President 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105