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NanoString Technologies (NanoString Technologies) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-25.47 (As of Sep23)


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What is NanoString Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep23, NanoString Technologies's earnings power value is $-25.47. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


NanoString Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for NanoString Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NanoString Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

NanoString Technologies Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -14.21 -12.59 -7.73 -13.06 -20.99

NanoString Technologies Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -18.93 -20.99 -22.84 -24.34 -25.47

Competitive Comparison of NanoString Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, NanoString Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NanoString Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, NanoString Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NanoString Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



NanoString Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

NanoString Technologies's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 134.7
DDA 7.4
Operating Margin % -85.28
SGA * 25% 28.9
Tax Rate % -0.20
Maintenance Capex 9.7
Cash and Cash Equivalents 97.1
Short-Term Debt 5.6
Long-Term Debt 242.1
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 47.7

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -85.28%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $134.7 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -85.28%, Average Adjusted SGA = 28.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 134.7 * -85.28% +28.9 = $-85.920109154 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -0.20%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-85.920109154 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -85.920109154 * ( 1 - -0.20% ) = $-86.091090171216 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 7.4 * 0.5 * -0.20% = $-0.007397427 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -86.091090171216 + -0.007397427 = $-86.098487598216 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
NanoString Technologies's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $9.7 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. NanoString Technologies's current cash and cash equivalent = $97.1 Mil.
NanoString Technologies's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 242.1 + 5.6 = $247.702 Mil.
NanoString Technologies's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 47.7 Mil.

NanoString Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -86.098487598216 - 9.7)/ 9%+97.1-247.702 )/47.7
=-25.47

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -25.46729484048-0.29 )/-25.46729484048
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


NanoString Technologies  (OTCPK:NSTGQ) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


NanoString Technologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NanoString Technologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NanoString Technologies (NanoString Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
530 Fairview Avenue North, Seattle, WA, USA, 98109
NanoString Technologies Inc is engaged in the development, manufacturing and commercialization of instruments, consumables, and services for efficiently profiling the activity of hundreds of genes and proteins simultaneously from a single tissue sample. Its core technology includes proprietary chemistries that enable the labeling and counting of single molecules. The firm uses its technology to develop tools for scientific and clinical research, primarily in the fields of genomics and proteomics. It offers two product platforms such as nCounter Analysis System or nCounter, and GeoMx Digital Spatial Profiler or DSP system both include instruments, related consumables, and software. NanoString Technologies generates revenue from the sale of products and related services and collaborations.
Executives
Jonathan Todd Garland officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O CYTEK BIOSCIENCES, INC., 47215 LAKEVIEW BOULEVARD, FREMONT CA 94538
K Thomas Bailey officer: Chief Financial Officer 1618 STATION STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6A 1B6
R Bradley Gray director, officer: President and CEO 530 FAIRVIEW AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98109
William Young director 14 CAMBRIDGE CENTER, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Waite Charles P Jr director, 10 percent owner 11023 NE 116TH STREET, KIRKLAND WA 98034
Gregory Norden director 16640 CHESTERFIELD GROVE DRIVE, SUITE 200, CHESTERFIELD MO 63005
Elisha W Finney director C/O VARIAN MEDICAL SYSTEMS, INC, 3100 HANSEN WAY M/S E-327, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Teresa M. Foy director 530 FAIRVIEW AVENUE NORTH, SEATTLE WA 98109
Joseph M Beechem officer: SVP, Research & Development 530 FAIRVIEW AVENUE NORTH, SUITE 2000, SEATTLE WA 98109
John D. Gerace officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O NANOSTRING TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 530 FAIRVIEW AVENUE NORTH, SEATTLE WA 98109
Kirk Malloy director 5200 ILLUMINA WAY, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
J. Chad Brown officer: SVP, Sales & Marketing 530 FAIRVIEW AVENUE NORTH, SEATTLE WA 98109
Robert Hershberg director 3005 FIRST AVENUE, SEATTLE WA 98121
Janet George director 530 FAIRVIEW AVENUE NORTH, SEATTLE WA 98109
Dana E. Rollison director 530 FAIRVIEW AVENUE NORTH, SEATTLE WA 98109