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Nortech Systems (Nortech Systems) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $8.42 (As of Dec23)


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What is Nortech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Nortech Systems's earnings power value is $8.42. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -105.49

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Nortech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nortech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nortech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Nortech Systems Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.15 -1.65 0.39 4.11 8.42

Nortech Systems Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.11 4.92 4.48 6.26 8.42

Competitive Comparison of Nortech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Medical Devices subindustry, Nortech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nortech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Nortech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nortech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Nortech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Nortech Systems's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 121.8
DDA 2.1
Operating Margin % 1.42
SGA * 25% 3.4
Tax Rate % 13.75
Maintenance Capex 1.2
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1.0
Short-Term Debt 1.4
Long-Term Debt 12.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 2.9

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 1.42%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $121.8 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 1.42%, Average Adjusted SGA = 3.4,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 121.8 * 1.42% +3.4 = $5.090054522 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 13.75%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $5.090054522 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 5.090054522 * ( 1 - 13.75% ) = $4.3900193235893 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 2.1 * 0.5 * 13.75% = $0.142095996 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 4.3900193235893 + 0.142095996 = $4.5321153195893 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Nortech Systems's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.2 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Nortech Systems's current cash and cash equivalent = $1.0 Mil.
Nortech Systems's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 12.8 + 1.4 = $14.176 Mil.
Nortech Systems's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 2.9 Mil.

Nortech Systems's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 4.5321153195893 - 1.2)/ 9%+1.0-14.176 )/2.9
=8.42

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 8.4239016959465-17.31 )/8.4239016959465
= -105.49%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Nortech Systems  (NAS:NSYS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Nortech Systems Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Nortech Systems (Nortech Systems) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7550 Meridian Circle N, Suite 150, Maple Grove, MN, USA, 55369
Nortech Systems Inc is a United States-based electronic manufacturing services company. It offers value-added engineering, technical and manufacturing services and support including project management, design, testing, prototyping, manufacturing, supply chain management, and post-market services. The company's manufacturing and engineering services include complete medical devices, printed circuit board assemblies, wire and cable assemblies, and complex higher-level electro-mechanical assemblies. It operates in the Medical, Aerospace, Defense and Industrial markets with key revenue coming from Medical device and product manufacturing and related engineering services.
Executives
Amy S. Fredregill director 7550 MERIDIAN CIRCLE N., SUITE # 150, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
Jose Antonio Peris director 7550 MERIDIAN CIRCLE N., SUITE # 150, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
David B Kunin director 7201 METRO BOULEVARD, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55439
David J. Graff director 7550 MERIDIAN CIRCLE N., SUITE 150, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
Daniel Ramon Everingham 10 percent owner 617 COUNTRY VIEW LANE, GARLAND TX 75043
Jay D Miller director 7550 MERIDIAN CIR N, SUITE 150, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
Christopher Dean Jones officer: CFO 7550 MERIDIAN CIRCLE N., SUITE 150, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
Stacy A Kruse director 7401 BOONE AVENUE NORTH, BROOKLYN PARK MN 55428
Philip Irving Smith director 4503 BROWNDALE AVENUE, EDINA MN 55424
Dan Sachs director 7550 MERIDIAN CIRCLE N., MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
Steven J Rosenstone director 7550 MERIDIAN CIR N, SUITE 150, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
Heidi B Grange officer: Senior Vice President of HR 7550 MERIDIAN CIRCLE N, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
John Lindeen officer: Sr VP - Global Operations 7550 MERIDIAN CIRCLE N, SUITE 150, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
Beck Constance officer: Chief Financial Officer NORTECH SYSTEMS INCORPORATED, 7550 MERDIAN CIRCLE N, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369
Matt Mahmood officer: Chief Operating Officer 7550 MERIDIAN CIRCLE N, SUITE 150, MAPLE GROVE MN 55369