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Omnova Solutions (Omnova Solutions) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $7.15 (As of Feb20)


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What is Omnova Solutions Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Feb20, Omnova Solutions's earnings power value is $7.15. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Omnova Solutions Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Omnova Solutions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Omnova Solutions Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Omnova Solutions Annual Data
Trend Nov10 Nov11 Nov12 Nov13 Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.26 1.09 7.95 9.81 7.86

Omnova Solutions Quarterly Data
May15 Aug15 Nov15 Feb16 May16 Aug16 Nov16 Feb17 May17 Aug17 Nov17 Feb18 May18 Aug18 Nov18 Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.94 8.69 8.58 7.86 6.93

Competitive Comparison of Omnova Solutions's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Omnova Solutions's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Omnova Solutions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Omnova Solutions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Omnova Solutions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Omnova Solutions Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Omnova Solutions's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 767.2
DDA 30.9
Operating Margin % 6.04
SGA * 25% 28.5
Tax Rate % -8.05
Maintenance Capex 23.5
Cash and Cash Equivalents 40.9
Short-Term Debt 7.8
Long-Term Debt 335.2
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 44.9

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.04%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $767.2 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.04%, Average Adjusted SGA = 28.5,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 767.2 * 6.04% +28.5 = $74.8321504 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -8.05%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $74.8321504 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 74.8321504 * ( 1 - -8.05% ) = $80.85800931096 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 30.9 * 0.5 * -8.05% = $-1.2449165 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 80.85800931096 + -1.2449165 = $79.61309281096 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Omnova Solutions's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $23.5 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Omnova Solutions's current cash and cash equivalent = $40.9 Mil.
Omnova Solutions's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 335.2 + 7.8 = $343 Mil.
Omnova Solutions's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 44.9 Mil.

Omnova Solutions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Feb20 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 79.61309281096 - 23.5)/ 9%+40.9-343 )/44.9
=7.15

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 7.1488227693541-10.14 )/7.1488227693541
= -41.84%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Omnova Solutions  (NYSE:OMN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Omnova Solutions Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Omnova Solutions's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Omnova Solutions (Omnova Solutions) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
25435 Harvard Road, Beachwood, OH, USA, 44122-6201
Omnova Solutions Inc manufactures and sells a variety of chemicals and chemical-based products. The firm organizes itself into two segments based on the product type. Its performance materials segment, which sells latex, lubricants, plastics, and powders used in the production of paper and packaging materials, carpets, tires, cords, synthetic latex gloves, and rubber products. The specialty chemical segment sells vinyl acrylics, styrene, plastic pigments, and polyethylene resins used in the production of textiles, oil and gas, coatings, construction materials, and personal care products. It generates a majority of revenue from the Specialty Solutions segment. Geographically, the company's majority of revenue comes from the United States.
Executives
Anne P Noonan officer: President & CEO 25435 HARVARD RD, BEACHWOOD OH 44122
Allan R Rothwell director C/O COMPASS MINERALS, 9900 WEST 109TH STREET, SUITE 600, OVERLAND PARK KS 66210
James A Mitarotonda director 888 SEVENTH AVENUE 17TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10019
Joseph M Gingo director 3550 WEST MARKET STREET, AKRON OH 44333
Michael J Merriman director C/O RC2 CORPORATION, 1111 WEST 22ND STREET, SUITE 320, OAK BROOK IL 60523
David J Dantoni director C/O COMPASS MINERALS, 9900 WEST 109TH STREET, SUITE 600, OVERLAND PARK KS 66210
Janet Plaut Giesselman director 25435 HARVARD RD., BEACHWOOD OH 44122
Larry B Porcellato director ICI PAINTS, 15885 SPRAGUE ROAD, CLEVELAND OH 44136
Paul F Desantis officer: SVP, CFO; Treasurer 25435 HARVARD RD, BEACHWOOD OH 44122-6201
Donald B. Mcmillan officer: Chief Accounting Officer 25435 HARVARD RD, BEACHWOOD OH 44122
Robert A Stefanko director 3550 W MARKET ST, AKRON OH 44333
Edward P Campbell director C/O KEYCORP, 127 PUBLIC SQUARE, CLEVELAND OH 44114
David A. Daberko director C/O MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION, 539 S. MAIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Gregory T Troy officer: Senior VP Human Resources C/O KAMAN CORPORATION, PO BOX 1, BLOOMFIELD CT 06002