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Pure Cycle (Pure Cycle) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-0.85 (As of Feb24)


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What is Pure Cycle Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Feb24, Pure Cycle's earnings power value is $-0.85. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Pure Cycle Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pure Cycle's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pure Cycle Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Pure Cycle Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.86 -10.46 -4.68 0.07 -0.99

Pure Cycle Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.99 -0.50 -0.99 -0.90 -0.85

Competitive Comparison of Pure Cycle's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Utilities - Regulated Water subindustry, Pure Cycle's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pure Cycle's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Pure Cycle's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pure Cycle's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Pure Cycle Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Pure Cycle's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 20.76
DDA 1.91
Operating Margin % 13.99
SGA * 25% 1.30
Tax Rate % 18.79
Maintenance Capex 6.66
Cash and Cash Equivalents 20.59
Short-Term Debt 0.10
Long-Term Debt 6.99
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 24.15

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 13.99%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $20.76 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 13.99%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.30,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 20.76 * 13.99% +1.30 = $4.209919222 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 18.79%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $4.209919222 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 4.209919222 * ( 1 - 18.79% ) = $3.4189385489745 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.91 * 0.5 * 18.79% = $0.17961806 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 3.4189385489745 + 0.17961806 = $3.5985566089745 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Pure Cycle's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $6.66 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Pure Cycle's current cash and cash equivalent = $20.59 Mil.
Pure Cycle's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 6.99 + 0.10 = $7.094 Mil.
Pure Cycle's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 24.15 Mil.

Pure Cycle's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Feb24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 3.5985566089745 - 6.66)/ 9%+20.59-7.094 )/24.15
=-0.85

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -0.84786735637798-9.50 )/-0.84786735637798
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Pure Cycle  (NAS:PCYO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Pure Cycle Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Pure Cycle's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Pure Cycle (Pure Cycle) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
34501 E. Quincy Avenue, Building 65, Suite A, Watkins, CO, USA, 80137
Pure Cycle Corp is a diversified land and water resource development company. It designs, constructs, manages, operates, and maintains water and wastewater systems. The firm operates in two business segments namely Water and wastewater resource development and Land development. It generates maximum revenue from the Land development segment. The company's services include water production, storage, treatment, bulk transmission to retail distribution systems, wastewater collection and treatment, irrigation water treatment and transmission, construction management, billing, and collection. The land resource development segment includes all the activities necessary to develop and sell finished lots.
Executives
Mark W Harding director, officer: President and CFO 8451 DELAWARE STREET, THORNTON CO 80260
Marc Stephen Spezialy officer: Vice President and CFO 34501 E. QUINCY AVE. BLDG 65, WATKINS CO 80137
Kevin Blain Mcneill officer: Chief Financial Officer 34501 E. QUINCY AVE, BLDG 34, WATKINS CO 80018
Plaisance Spv I, Llc 10 percent owner 250 FILLMORE, SUITE 525, DENVER CO 80206
Wanda J Abel director 34501 QUINCY AVENUE BLDG. 34, WATKINS CO 80109
Fendel Frederick A. Iii director C/O PURE CYCLE CORP., 34501 E. QUINCY AVE., BLDG. 34, WATKINS CO 80137
Plaisance Capital Llc 10 percent owner 250 FILLMORE, SUITE 525, DENVER CO 80206
Patrick Beirne director 8 VIKING DR, ENGLEWOOD CO 80113
Jeffrey G Sheets director 5291 E. YALE AVE., DENVER CO 80222
Par Investment Partners Lp 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, FL 48, BOSTON MA 02116
Daniel R Kozlowski 10 percent owner 250 FILLMORE, SUITE 525, DENVER CO 80206
Par Capital Management Inc 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, FL 48, BOSTON MA 02116
Par Group Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 48TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Epker Arthur G Iii director C/O PURE CYCLE CORPORATION, 8451 DELAWARE ST., THORNTON CO 80260
Harrison E Augur director PO BOX 4389, ASPEN CO 81611