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Phoenix Footwear Group (Phoenix Footwear Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-0.77 (As of Jun23)


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What is Phoenix Footwear Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun23, Phoenix Footwear Group's earnings power value is $-0.77. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Phoenix Footwear Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Phoenix Footwear Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Phoenix Footwear Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Phoenix Footwear Group Annual Data
Trend Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec18 Dec19
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -17.05 -20.03 -19.63 -6.30 -1.43

Phoenix Footwear Group Quarterly Data
Mar09 Jun09 Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Mar22 Jun22 Mar23 Jun23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.77 0.02 0.10 -0.43 -0.77

Competitive Comparison of Phoenix Footwear Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Phoenix Footwear Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Phoenix Footwear Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Phoenix Footwear Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Phoenix Footwear Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Phoenix Footwear Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Phoenix Footwear Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 18.48
DDA 0.24
Operating Margin % -10.88
SGA * 25% 2.04
Tax Rate % 6.96
Maintenance Capex 0.29
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.04
Short-Term Debt 6.11
Long-Term Debt 2.49
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 14.87

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -10.88%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $18.48 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -10.88%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2.04,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 18.48 * -10.88% +2.04 = $0.033487938 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 6.96%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $0.033487938 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 0.033487938 * ( 1 - 6.96% ) = $0.0311571775152 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.24 * 0.5 * 6.96% = $0.00819192 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0.0311571775152 + 0.00819192 = $0.0393490975152 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Phoenix Footwear Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.29 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Phoenix Footwear Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.04 Mil.
Phoenix Footwear Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 2.49 + 6.11 = $8.602 Mil.
Phoenix Footwear Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 14.87 Mil.

Phoenix Footwear Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.0393490975152 - 0.29)/ 9%+0.04-8.602 )/14.87
=-0.77

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -0.76637439279347-0.05 )/-0.76637439279347
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Phoenix Footwear Group  (OTCPK:PXFG) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Phoenix Footwear Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Phoenix Footwear Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Phoenix Footwear Group (Phoenix Footwear Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2236 Rutherford Road, Suite 113, Carlsbad, CA, USA, 92008
Phoenix Footwear Group Inc operates in the footwear industry. It is engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of footwear in a range of sizes and widths under the brand's Trotters, SoftWalk, SAVA, and Bueno. The company's distribution channels include specialty and independent retail stores, mail order catalogs, uniforms, and internet retailers. It also operates it's own direct-to-consumer internet retail business for all its brands.
Executives
Riedman Corp other: member of 10% group 45 EAST AVENUE ROCHESTER NY 14604
Steven Tannenbaum 10 percent owner 125 COUNTRY CLUB ROAD NEWTON MA 02459
Greenwood Investments, Inc. 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET 12TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02116
Greenwood Capital Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET 12TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02116
Greenwood Investors Limited Partnership 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET FLOOR 17 BOSTON MA 02116
Gregory W Slack officer: CFO 2765 LOKER AVENUE WEST CARLSBAD CA 92010
Robby Lee Carter other: Executive Vice President 303 YARD DRIVE LAKE ST. LOUIS MO 63367
Kevin G Wulff director 1740 MONROVIA AVENUE COSTA MESA CA 92627
Dennis Nelson officer: CFO, Secretary and Treasurer 5840 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 106, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Cathy B Taylor director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5840 EL CAMINO REAL SUITE 106 CARLSBAD CA 92008
Paul Douglas Ford officer: Senior VP of Operations 5840 EL CAMINO REAL SUITE 106 CARLSBAD CA 92008
Willie Pfander director, officer: Senior VP-Sourcing and Develop
Greg Harden director
Steven Deperrier director
John C Kratzer director PO BOX 116 4806 EL MARLO RANCHO SANTA FE CA 92067

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