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Rambus (Rambus) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $3.51 (As of Dec23)


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What is Rambus Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Rambus's earnings power value is $3.51. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -1588.42

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Rambus Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Rambus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Rambus Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Rambus Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.57 -1.34 -2.02 -3.45 3.51

Rambus Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.45 -1.38 -0.68 1.62 3.51

Competitive Comparison of Rambus's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Rambus's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rambus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Rambus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rambus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Rambus Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Rambus's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 343.6
DDA 45.7
Operating Margin % -2.07
SGA * 25% 24.6
Tax Rate % -50.99
Maintenance Capex 15.6
Cash and Cash Equivalents 425.8
Short-Term Debt 4.5
Long-Term Debt 26.3
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 110.0

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -2.07%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $343.6 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -2.07%, Average Adjusted SGA = 24.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 343.6 * -2.07% +24.6 = $17.541077096 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -50.99%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $17.541077096 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 17.541077096 * ( 1 - -50.99% ) = $26.48527230725 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 45.7 * 0.5 * -50.99% = $-11.6624328 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 26.48527230725 + -11.6624328 = $14.82283950725 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Rambus's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $15.6 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Rambus's current cash and cash equivalent = $425.8 Mil.
Rambus's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 26.3 + 4.5 = $30.708 Mil.
Rambus's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 110.0 Mil.

Rambus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 14.82283950725 - 15.6)/ 9%+425.8-30.708 )/110.0
=3.51

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 3.5080081629588-59.23 )/3.5080081629588
= -1588.42%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Rambus  (NAS:RMBS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Rambus Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Rambus's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Rambus (Rambus) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4453 North First Street, Suite 100, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134
Rambus Inc is a semiconductor solutions provider offering high-speed, high-security computer chips and Silicon intellectual property. The company's Key products include memory interface chips, built for high speed and efficiency; silicon IP, providing high-speed memory and chip-to-chip connection technology; and architecture licenses, which allow customers to use portions of Rambus' patented inventions for their own digital electronics. The firm receives the majority of its revenue from the United States, Taiwan, Asia-Other, Japan and Singapore.
Executives
Xianzhi Sean Fan officer: COO C/O INTEGRATED DEVICE TECHNOLOGY, INC., 6024 SILVER CREEK VALLEY ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95138
Desmond Lynch officer: SVP, CFO 4453 NORTH FIRST STREET, SUITE 100, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Eric B Stang director
Steven Laub director 5555 NE MOORE CT., HILLSBORO OR 97124
Emiko Higashi director C/O GILO VENTURES, 175 ALMENDRAL AVENUE, ATHERTON CA 94027
Necip Sayiner director 400 W CESAR CHAVEZ, AUSTIN TX 78701
John K Allen officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O LEADIS TECHNOLOGY, INC., 800 W. CALIFORNIA AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94086
Luc Seraphin officer: Interim CEO, SVP & GM 1050 ENTERPRISE WAY, SUITE 700, 4453 N FIRST ST, STE 100, SAN JOSE CA 95134
John Shinn officer: SVP, General Counsel 4453 NORTH FIRST STREET, SUITE 100, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Charles Kissner director 170 ROSE ORCHARD WAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Karen M Rogge director APPLIED MICRO CIRCUITS CORP, 4555 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY, SUITE 601, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
James A Mitarotonda director 888 SEVENTH AVENUE 17TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10019
Keith A Jones officer: Principal Accounting Officer 4453 N FIRST ST, STE 100, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Jae Kim officer: SVP, GC & HR C/O RAMBUS INC., 1050 ENTERPRISE WAY, SUITE 700, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Gregory S Lang director C/O INTEGRATED DEVICE TECHNOLOGY, INC., 6024 SILVER CREEK VALLEY ROAD, SAN JOSE CA 95138