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USD Partners LP (USD Partners LP) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $2.30 (As of Sep23)


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What is USD Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep23, USD Partners LP's earnings power value is $2.30. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 94.77

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


USD Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for USD Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

USD Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

USD Partners LP Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.05 0.76 3.71 5.11 3.16

USD Partners LP Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.06 3.16 2.97 3.19 2.30

Competitive Comparison of USD Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Railroads subindustry, USD Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


USD Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, USD Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where USD Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



USD Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

USD Partners LP's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 133.77
DDA 19.24
Operating Margin % 14.51
SGA * 25% 8.73
Tax Rate % 0.01
Maintenance Capex 4.22
Cash and Cash Equivalents 8.69
Short-Term Debt 196.25
Long-Term Debt 0.71
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 33.76

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 14.51%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $133.77 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 14.51%, Average Adjusted SGA = 8.73,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 133.77 * 14.51% +8.73 = $28.142067664 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.01%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $28.142067664 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 28.142067664 * ( 1 - 0.01% ) = $28.140660560617 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 19.24 * 0.5 * 0.01% = $0.00048096 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 28.140660560617 + 0.00048096 = $28.141141520617 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
USD Partners LP's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $4.22 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. USD Partners LP's current cash and cash equivalent = $8.69 Mil.
USD Partners LP's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.71 + 196.25 = $196.961 Mil.
USD Partners LP's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 33.76 Mil.

USD Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 28.141141520617 - 4.22)/ 9%+8.69-196.961 )/33.76
=2.30

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.2952360570156-0.12 )/2.2952360570156
= 94.77%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


USD Partners LP  (OTCPK:USDP) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


USD Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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USD Partners LP (USD Partners LP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
811 Main Street, Suite 2800, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
USD Partners LP is formed to acquire, develop and operate midstream infrastructure and complementary logistics solutions for crude oil, biofuels and other energy-related products. The company's network of crude oil terminals facilitates the transportation of heavy crude oil from Western Canada to key demand centers across North America. The company's operations include railcar loading and unloading, storage and blending in onsite tanks, inbound and outbound pipeline connectivity, truck transloading, and other related logistics services. The company also provides one of the customers with leased railcars and fleet services to facilitate the transportation of liquid hydrocarbons by rail. The company manages its business in two reportable segments: Terminalling services and Fleet services.
Executives
Jeffrey P. Wood director, other: SEE REMARKS EAGLE ROCK ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P., P.O. BOX 2968, HOUSTON TX 77252-2968
Keith Benson officer: SEE REMARKS C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Francesco Ciabatti director, other: See Remarks. 51 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Dan Borgen director, officer: SEE REMARKS 9500 NEW CENTURY, PASADENA TX 77507
Michael Ray Curry director, other: SEE REMARKS C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Energy Capital Partners Iii, Lp 10 percent owner 51 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Michael Jay Stanford officer: Vice President, CAO 811 MAIN ST., SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Energy Capital Partners Gp Iii, Lp director, 10 percent owner 40 BEECHWOOD ROAD, SUMMIT NJ 07901
G Stacy Smith director, other: SEE REMARKS 300 CRESCENT COURT SUITE 1111, DALLAS TX 75201
Ecp Controlco, Llc director, 10 percent owner 40 BEECHWOOD ROAD, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Joshua Dean Ruple officer: SEE REMARKS 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Schuyler Coppedge director, other: SEE REMARKS C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Paul Leray Tucker officer: SEE REMARKS C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Adam K Altsuler officer: SEE REMARKS C/O USD PARTNERS LP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 2800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Energy Capital Partners Iii-b (usd Ip), Lp director, 10 percent owner 51 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078