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Tandou (Tandou) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-1.18 (As of Jun14)


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What is Tandou Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jun14, Tandou's earnings power value is $-1.18. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Tandou Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tandou's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tandou Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Tandou Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Jun12 Jun13 Jun14
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Tandou Semi-Annual Data
Jun05 Dec05 Jun06 Dec06 Jun07 Dec07 Jun08 Dec08 Jun09 Dec09 Jun10 Dec10 Jun11 Dec11 Jun12 Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14
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Competitive Comparison of Tandou's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Farm Products subindustry, Tandou's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tandou's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Tandou's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tandou's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Tandou Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Tandou's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 40.39
DDA 1.89
Operating Margin % -22.64
SGA * 25% 1.65
Tax Rate % -13.16
Maintenance Capex 3.99
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.50
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 38.48
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 151.30

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -22.64%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $40.39 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -22.64%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.65,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 40.39 * -22.64% +1.65 = $-7.491316216 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -13.16%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-7.491316216 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -7.491316216 * ( 1 - -13.16% ) = $-8.4770236037013 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.89 * 0.5 * -13.16% = $-0.124224678 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -8.4770236037013 + -0.124224678 = $-8.6012482817013 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Tandou's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $3.99 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Tandou's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.50 Mil.
Tandou's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 38.48 + 0.00 = $38.483 Mil.
Tandou's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 151.30 Mil.

Tandou's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun14 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -8.6012482817013 - 3.99)/ 9%+0.50-38.483 )/151.30
=-1.18

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -1.1757123467178-0.3481 )/-1.1757123467178
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Tandou  (OTCPK:TDUFF) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Tandou Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Tandou (Tandou) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Tandou Ltd is an Australia based company produces and sells irrigated cotton and cereal crops. Business activity of the firm is operated with two segments namely Farming and Water Operations. The Farming operation comprises of the production of crops (upland cotton and cereal) for sale in Australian and international markets as well as pastoral activities relating to sheep and cattle. The Water operation segment includes the trading of permanent water entitlements and temporary water allocations. In addition, it is also involved in the Production of livestock at Tandou Farm. Tandou derives the majority of revenue from the farming segment.

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