Advent Technologies Holdings (Advent Technologies Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 66.91% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)

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What is Advent Technologies Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Advent Technologies Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 66.91%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Advent Technologies Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Advent Technologies Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Advent Technologies Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Advent Technologies Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advent Technologies Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Advent Technologies Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

0.70

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	66.91%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Advent Technologies Holdings (NAS:ADN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Advent Technologies Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Advent Technologies Holdings (Advent Technologies Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Utilities » Utilities - Independent Power Producers » Advent Technologies Holdings Inc (NAS:ADN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

500 Rutherford Avenue, Suite 102, Boston, MA, USA, 02129

Website

https://www.advent.energy

Advent Technologies Holdings Inc is an innovation-driven company in the fuel cell and hydrogen technology space. The company develops, manufactures, and assembles complete fuel cell systems and the critical components that determine the performance of hydrogen fuel cells and other energy systems. It serves automotive; aviation and power generation industries. It generates revenue from the sale of fuel cell systems and the sale of MEAs, membranes, and electrodes for specific applications in the fuel cell and energy storage (flow battery) markets.

Executives

Vassilios Gregoriou	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO	ONE MIFFLIN PLACE, 119 MT. AUBURN STREET, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Kevin L. Brackman	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1293 SOUTH MAIN STREET, AKRON OH 44301
James F. Coffey	officer: COO and General Counsel	ONE MIFFLIN PLACE, 119 MT. AUBURN STREET, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
De Castro Emory Sayre	director, officer: Chief Technology Officer	ONE MIFFLIN PLACE, 119 MT. AUBURN STREET, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Von Mcconnell	director	200 CLARENDON STREET, 25TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Panoraia Gourdoupi	director	200 CLARENDON STREET, 25TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Wayne Threatt	director	200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Lawrence Epstein	director	1200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Clark Lawrence M Jr	director	C/O PAUL,WEISS,RIFKIND,WHARTON &, GARRISON LLP,1285 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10019-6064
Anggelos Skutaris	director	ONE MIFFLIN PLACE, 119 MT. AUBURN STREET, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Katherine E. Fleming	director	ONE MIFFLIN PLACE, 119 MT. AUBURN STREET, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Katrina Fritz	director	ONE MIFFLIN PLACE, 119 MT. AUBURN STREET, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138
Christos Kaskavelis	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	SYNTAGMATARCHOU DAVAKI 1, FILOTHEI J3 15237
John Hunter William	director, officer: President and CFO	930 TAHOE BOULEVARD, SUITE 802-16, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451
Adage Capital Partners Gp, L.l.c.	10 percent owner	200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116