Adams Resources & Energy (Adams Resources & Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Adams Resources & Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Adams Resources & Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Adams Resources & Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Adams Resources & Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Adams Resources & Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Adams Resources & Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Adams Resources & Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Adams Resources & Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.07

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Adams Resources & Energy (AMEX:AE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Adams Resources & Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Adams Resources & Energy (Adams Resources & Energy) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Adams Resources & Energy Inc (AMEX:AE) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

5QT:Germany

Address

17 South Briar Hollow Lane, Suite 100, Houston, TX, USA, 77027

Website

https://www.adamsresources.com

Adams Resources & Energy Inc is engaged in the business of crude oil marketing, tank truck transportation of liquid chemicals and dry bulk, and oil and gas exploration and production. The company operates through four business segments: Crude oil marketing segment offers crude oil marketing, transportation, and storage; Transportation segment includes tank truck transportation of liquid chemicals, pressurized gases, asphalt, and dry bulk; Pipeline and storage segment includes pipeline transportation, terminalling, and storage of crude oil; and Logistics and repurposing segment offers interstate bulk transportation logistics of crude oil, condensate, fuels, oils and other petroleum products and recycling and repurposing of off-specification fuels, lubricants, crude oil, and other chemicals.

Executives

Leggio Michael F Iii	officer: Chief Operating Officer	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77027
Dennis E. Dominic	director	C/O ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY, INC., 17 S. BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77027
Townes G. Pressler	officer: Executive Chairman	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77027
Tracy E Ohmart	officer: EVP, CFO	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77027
Kevin J. Roycraft	officer: President, Service Transport	C/O ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY, INC., 17 S. BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77027
Wade M Harrison	officer: President, Service Transport	C/O ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY, INC., 17 S. BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, HOUSTON TX 77027
Trey T Bosard	officer: President, Phoenix Oil, Inc.	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77027
Niemann John O. Jr.	director	1415 LOUISIANA ST., STE. 4100, HOUSTON TX 77002
Murray E Brasseux	director	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, HOUSTON TX 77027
William R Scofield	director	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, HOUSTON TX 77027
Greg L Mills	officer: President, GulfMark Energy	C/O ADAMS RESOURCES & ENERGY, INC., 17 S. BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77027
Michelle A Earley	director	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, HOUSTON TX 77027
Geoffrey Griffith	officer: President, GulfMark Energy	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77027
Larry E Bell	director	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, SUITE 100, HOUSTON TX 77027
Richard C Jenner	director	17 SOUTH BRIAR HOLLOW LANE, HOUSTON TX 77027