Applied Industrial Technologies (Applied Industrial Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Applied Industrial Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Applied Industrial Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Applied Industrial Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Applied Industrial Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Applied Industrial Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Applied Industrial Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Applied Industrial Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Applied Industrial Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-8.61

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Applied Industrial Technologies (NYSE:AIT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Applied Industrial Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Applied Industrial Technologies (Applied Industrial Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Distribution » Applied Industrial Technologies Inc (NYSE:AIT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

AT4:Germany

Address

1 Applied Plaza, Cleveland, OH, USA, 44115

Website

https://www.applied.com

Applied Industrial Technologies Inc is a distributor of industrial products to the maintenance, repair, and operations market and the original equipment manufacturing industry. Further, the company provides engineering and design services for industrial and fluid power applications. The products include bearings, power transmission components, fluid power components and systems, industrial rubber products, linear motion components, safety products, oilfield supplies, and other industrial and maintenance supplies. Fluid products include hydraulic, pneumatic, lubrication, and filtration systems and components. Applied Industrial Technologies operates primarily in North America, Australia, and New Zealand.

Executives

Neil A Schrimsher	director, officer: President and CEO	ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Peter C Wallace	director	C/O ROBBINS & MYERS, INC., 51 PLUM STREET, SUITE 260, DAYTON OH 45440
Hoffner Warren E Iii	officer: VP-General Mgr, Fluid Power	ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Kurt W. Loring	officer: VP-Chief HR Officer	ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Mary Dean Hall	director	4920 O'HEAR AVENUE, SUITE 400, NORTH CHARLESTON SC 29405
Jon S Ploetz	officer: VP-General Counsel & Secretary	ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Fred D Bauer	officer: VP-General Counsel & Secretary	ONE APPLIED PLZ, CLEVELAND OH 44115-5056
Vincent K Petrella	director
Shelly Marie Chadwick	director	6070 PARKLAND BLVD, MAYFIELD HTS. OH 44124
Christopher Macey	other: Corporate Controller	5995 MAYFAIR ROAD, NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Peter A Dorsman	director
Jason W Vasquez	officer: VP-Sales & Marketing-USSC	ONE APPLIED PLAZA, CLEVELAND OH 44115
Jerry Sue Thornton	director	C/O BARNES & NOBLE EDUCATION, INC., 120 MOUNTAIN VIEW BLVD, BASKING RIDGE NJ 07920
Madhuri A Andrews	director	2525 STEMMONS FRWY, DALLAS TX 75207
Green Edith Kelly	director	3131 DEMOCRAT ROAD BLDG B206, MEMPHIS TN 38118