Albireo Pharma (Albireo Pharma) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

View and export this data going back to 2007. Start your Free Trial

What is Albireo Pharma Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Albireo Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Albireo Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Albireo Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Albireo Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Albireo Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Albireo Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Albireo Pharma Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.84

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Albireo Pharma (NAS:ALBO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Albireo Pharma Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Albireo Pharma's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Albireo Pharma (Albireo Pharma) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Albireo Pharma Inc (NAS:ALBO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

53 State Street, 19th Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02109

Website

https://www.albireopharma.com

Albireo Pharma Inc is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company. It focuses on the development and commercialization of novel bile acid modulators to treat orphan pediatric liver diseases and other liver and gastrointestinal diseases and disorders. The Company's product pipeline includes Bylvay, which is approved in the United States and Europe; elobixibat, which is approved in Japan for the treatment of chronic constipation; A3907, its Phase 1 lead candidate for the treatment of adult liver diseases; and A2342, it's a lead preclinical candidate for the treatment of adult viral and liver diseases.

Executives

Harford Simon N.r.	officer: CFO and Treasurer	AVON PRODUCTS, INC., 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Pamela Stephenson	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O ZYNERBA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 80 W. LANCASTER AVENUE, SUITE 300, DEVON PA 19333
Martha J. Carter	officer: Chief Regulatory Officer	C/O AEGERION PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 89 HEADQUARTERS PLAZA, SUITE 1212, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Jan Mattsson	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O ALBIREO PHARMA, INC., 50 MILK STREET, 16TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Cooper Ronald Harold Wilfred	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O GENOCEA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 100 ACORN PARK DRIVE, 5TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Michelle Graham	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	10000 WEHRLE DRIVE, CLARENCE NY 14031
Jason Duncan	officer: General Counsel	C/O ALBIREO PHARMA, INC., 10 POST OFFICE SQUARE, SUITE 502 SOUTH, BOSTON MA 02109
Paul Streck	officer: Chief Medical Officer	10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BUILDING 10, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Craig C. Hopkinson	director	852 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Perceptive Life Sciences Master Fund Ltd	10 percent owner	C/O PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC, 51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Susan Alesina	director	C/O ALBIREO PHARMA, INC., 53 STATE STREET, 19TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02109
Habib J Dable	director	C/O ACCELERON PHARMA INC., 128 SIDNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Patrick Taylor Horn	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O TETRAPHASE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 480 ARSENAL STREET, SUITE 110, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Perceptive Advisors Llc	10 percent owner	51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Joseph Edelman	10 percent owner	C/O PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC, 51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003