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Amneal Pharmaceuticals (Amneal Pharmaceuticals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.12% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Amneal Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Amneal Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Amneal Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Amneal Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Amneal Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Amneal Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amneal Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Amneal Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.69

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.12%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Amneal Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:AMRX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Amneal Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Amneal Pharmaceuticals (Amneal Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 Crossing Boulevard, 3rd Floor, Bridgewater, NJ, USA, 08807
Amneal Pharmaceuticals Inc is a generic pharmaceutical manufacturer. The company's reportable segments are Generic Products, Specialty products, and AvKARE. The Generics segment develops, manufactures and commercializes complex oral solids, injectables, ophthalmics, liquids, topicals, softgels, inhalation products, and transdermals, and the Specialty segment is engaged in the development, promotion, sale and distribution of proprietary branded pharmaceutical products. The AvKARE segment provides pharmaceuticals, medical and surgical products, and services primarily to governmental agencies.
Executives
Andrew S Boyer officer: Exec VP, Comm Optns C/O WATSON PHARMA INC, 360 MOUNT KEMBLE AVE, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Tpg Gp A, Llc 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Gustavo Pesquin officer: See Remarks 4 PARK LANE, MADISON NJ 07940
Deborah M. Autor director C/O PARDES BIOSCIENCES, INC., 2173 SALK AVE., SUITE 250, PMB#052, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Jason B. Daly officer: SVP, Chief Legal Officer 400 CROSSING BLVD, 3RD FLOOR, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Jon Winkelried 10 percent owner C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
Gautam Patel director C/O AMNEAL PHARMACEUTICALS LLC, 400 CROSSING BLVD, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Chirag K. Patel director C/O AMNEAL PHARMACEUTICALS LLC, 400 CROSSING BOULEVARD, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Chintu Patel director C/O AMNEAL PHARMACEUTICALS LLC, 400 CROSSING BOULEVARD, BRIDGEWATER CA 08807
Nikita Shah officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer C/O AMNEAL PHARMACEUTICALS LLC, 400 CROSSING BLVD, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Joseph Todisco officer: SVP, Specialty Commercial 400 CROSSING BOULEVARD, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
John Kiely director C/O ZOVIO INC, 1811 E NORTHROP BLVD, CHANDLER AZ 85286
Jeffrey P. George director C/O AMNEAL PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 400 CROSSING BOULEVARD, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Shlomo Yanai director ONE MEADOWLANDS PLAZA, EAST RUTHERFORD NJ 07073
Paul M Meister director 18 SHIP ROCK ROAD, NORTH HAMPTON NH 03862