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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings (Aveanna Healthcare Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.10% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Aveanna Healthcare Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aveanna Healthcare Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Aveanna Healthcare Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aveanna Healthcare Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.91

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.10%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Aveanna Healthcare Holdings  (NAS:AVAH) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings (Aveanna Healthcare Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
400 Interstate North Parkway SE, Suite 1600, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30339
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc is a diversified home care platform that provides care to medically complex, high-cost patient populations. It directly addresses the pressing challenges facing the U.S. healthcare system by providing safe, high-quality care in the home. The firm provides its services through three segments: Private Duty Services (PDS); Home Health & Hospice (HHH); and Medical Solutions (MS). Private Duty Services include private duty nursing (PDN) and pediatric therapy services. HHH segment provides home health, hospice, and specialty program services to elderly populations seeking compassionate care and assistance with activities of daily living in the home. MS segment provides needed supplies to patients requiring enteral nutrition services or respiratory care.
Executives
Deborah Stewart officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 400 INTERSTATE NORTH PARKWAY SE, ATLANTA GA 30339
Matthew Buckhalter officer: See Remarks 400 INTERSTATE NORTH PARKWAY SE, SUITE 1600, ATLANTA GA 30339
Victor F Ganzi director
David Afshar officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O AVEANNA HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC., 400 INTERSTATE NORTH PARKWAY SE STE 1600, ATLANTA GA 30339
Patrick A. Cunningham officer: Chief Compliance Officer C/O AVEANNA HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC., 400 INTERSTATE NORTH PARKWAY SE STE 1600, ATLANTA GA 30339
Edwin C. Reisz officer: Chief Administrative Officer C/O AVEANNA HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC., 400 INTERSTATE NORTH PARKWAY SE STE 1600, ATLANTA GA 30339
Jeff Shaner officer: Chief Operating Officer 3350 RIVERWOOD PARKWAY SUITE 1400, ATLANTA GA 30339
Tony Strange director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 3 HUNTINGTON QUADRANGLE 2S, MELVILLE NY 11747
Rodney D Windley director, officer: Executive Chairman 3 HUNTINGTON QUADRANGLE 2S, MELVILLE NY 11747
Steven E Rodgers director
Erica Schwartz director 400 INTERSTATE N. PARKWAY SE, SUITE 1600, C/O AVEANNA HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC., ATLANTA GA 30339
Bcip Associates Iv-b (us), L.p. 10 percent owner JOHN HANCOCK TOWER, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Whitney Strategic Partners Vii, L.p. 10 percent owner 130 MAIN STREET, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Bcip T Associates Iv-b (us), L.p. 10 percent owner JOHN HANCOCK TOWER, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Bcip T Associates Iv (us), L.p. 10 percent owner JOHN HANCOCK TOWER, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116