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Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition (Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 20, 2024)


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What is Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition  (NYSE:BOAC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition (Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
300 Crescent Court, Suite 1860, Dallas, TX, USA, 75201
Bluescape Opportunities Acquisition Corp is a special purpose acquisition company focused on essential assets and is formed to enter into a merger, amalgamation, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses.
Executives
Brahman Capital Corp. 10 percent owner 655 THIRD AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Nomura Holdings Inc 10 percent owner 1-13-1 NIHONBASHI, CHUO-KU, TOKYO M0 103-8645
Nomura Global Financial Products Inc 10 percent owner WORLDWIDE PLAZA, 309 WEST 49TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Mitchell Andrew Kuflik 10 percent owner 655 THIRD AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Robert Joseph Sobel 10 percent owner 655 THIRD AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Brahman Management, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 655 THIRD AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Hebert Curtis L Jr director
C John Wilder director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman & CEO ENTERGY CORP, 639 LOYOLA AVENUE, NEW ORLEANS LA 70113
Duncan Palmer director ONE OWENS CORNING PARKWAY, TOLEDO OH 43659
Jonathan A Siegler director, officer: Pres & Chief Operating Officer 1601 BRYAN STREET, DALLAS TX 75201
Hoff Graham Vant director C/O BLUESCAPE ENERGY PARTNERS, LLC, 200 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1900, DALLAS TX 75201
Bluescape Sponsor Llc 10 percent owner 200 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1900, DALLAS TX 75201
Lillian Meyer officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BLUESCAPE ENERGY PARTNERS, LLC, 200 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1900, DALLAS TX 75201

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