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Coeur Mining (Coeur Mining) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Coeur Mining Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Coeur Mining's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Coeur Mining's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Gold subindustry, Coeur Mining's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Coeur Mining's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Coeur Mining's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coeur Mining's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Coeur Mining Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.65

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Coeur Mining  (NYSE:CDE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Coeur Mining Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Coeur Mining (Coeur Mining) Business Description

Industry
Address
104 South Michigan Avenue, Suite 900, Chicago, IL, USA, 60603
Coeur Mining Inc is a metals producer focused on mining precious minerals in the Americas. It is involved in the discovery and mining of gold and silver and generates the vast majority of revenue from the sale of these precious metals. The operating mines of the company are palmarejo, Rochester, Wharf, and Kensington. Its projects are located in the United States, Canada and Mexico, and North America.
Executives
Kenneth J Watkinson officer: VP, Corporate Controller 104 S. MICHIGAN AVE., STE. 900, CHICAGO IL 60603
Paramita Das director 200 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 2100, CHICAGO IL 60606
Aoife Mcgrath officer: SVP, Exploration 104 S. MICHIGAN AVE., STE. 900, CHICAGO IL 60603
Robert E Mellor director, officer: Chairman (non-executive) SEVEN MADRONE AVE, KENTFIELD CA 94904
Michael Routledge officer: SVP & Chief Operating Officer 104 S. MICHIGAN AVE., STE. 900, CHICAGO IL 60603
J Kenneth Thompson director ALASKA AIR GROUP, 19300 PACIFIC HIGHWAY SOUTH, SEATTLE WA 98188
Randy Gress director 259 PROSPECT PLAINS ROAD, P O BOX 8000, CRANBURY NJ 08512-8000
Jeane L. Hull director 104 S. MICHIGAN AVE., STE. 900, CHICAGO IL 60603
Thomas S Whelan officer: SVP & CFO 104 S. MICHIGAN AVE., STE. 900, CHICAGO IL 60603
Mitchell J Krebs director, officer: President and CEO 1341 W FULLERTON AVE, STE 210, CHICAGO IL 60614
Hans John Rasmussen officer: SVP, Exploration 1002 MEDICINE MAN CLUSTER, MISSOULA MT 59808
Casey M. Nault officer: VP & General Counsel 505 FRONT AVENUE, P.O. BOX I, COEUR D'ALENE ID 83816
Terrence F. Smith officer: VP, North American Operations 104 S. MICHIGAN AVE., STE. 900, CHICAGO IL 60603
Brian E Sandoval director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Sebastian Edwards director 9900 STELLBAR PLACE, LOS ANGELES CA 90064