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Cheniere Energy Partners LP (Cheniere Energy Partners LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Cheniere Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cheniere Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cheniere Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Cheniere Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cheniere Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Cheniere Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cheniere Energy Partners LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cheniere Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.11

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cheniere Energy Partners LP  (NYSE:CQP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cheniere Energy Partners LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cheniere Energy Partners LP (Cheniere Energy Partners LP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
700 Milam Street, Suite 1900, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Cheniere Energy Partners is the direct owner of the Sabine Pass LNG terminals as well as regasification facilities. It also owns the Creole Trail Pipeline, which connects the terminal to third-party gas suppliers. Cheniere Partners shares in the marketing fees generated by Cheniere Marketing from Sabine Pass marketed gas volumes.
Executives
Taylor Johnson director, other: Deputy GC and Asst. Sec. 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Grindal Corey director, officer: EVP, Worldwide Trading 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Brian Arthur Baker director 700 MILAM ST., SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Bx Rockies Platform Co Llc 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Holdings Iii L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Christopher Manuel Dellamore director C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Tim Wyatt director, officer: SVP, Corp. Dev. and Strategy 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
James Robert Ball director 4 PROVIDENCE VILLAS, BRACKENBURY, LONDON X0 W6 0BA
Adam Kuhnley director C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
David L Slack officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 700 MILAM STREET, SUITE 1900, HOUSTON TX 77002
Matthew Jk Runkle director 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bam Partners Trust 10 percent owner 181 BAY STREET, SUITE 300, TORONTO A6 M5J 2T3
Gso Holdings I Llc 10 percent owner C/O GSO CAPITAL PARTNERS LP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Inc. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Holdings Ii L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154