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Cantaloupe (Cantaloupe) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Cantaloupe Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cantaloupe's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cantaloupe's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Cantaloupe's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cantaloupe's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Cantaloupe's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cantaloupe's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cantaloupe Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.69

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cantaloupe  (NAS:CTLP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cantaloupe Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cantaloupe (Cantaloupe) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Cantaloupe Inc (NAS:CTLP) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 Deerfield Lane, Suite 300, Malvern, PA, USA, 19355
Cantaloupe Inc operates in the small ticket electronic payments industry. It provides wireless, cashless, micro-transactions, and networking services within the unattended Point of Sale (POS) market. Its products and services portfolio consists of ePort Cashless devices, eSuds, EnergyMisers, and Value-added services which include Loyalty and Prepaid, Intelligent Vending, and others. The company offers services to different industries covering car wash, taxi and transportation, laundry, vending, kiosk, amusement, and arcade. The Company derives revenue from the sale or lease of equipment and services to the small ticket, unattended POS market and majority of its revenue is derived from subscription and transaction fees.
Executives
Ian Jiro Harris director C/O CADWALADER, WICKERSHAM & TAFT, LLP, 200 LIBERTY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10281
Ravi Venkatesan officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O CANTALOUPE, INC., 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Gaurav Singal officer: Chief Technology Officer 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Jared Scott Grachek officer: Chief Accounting Officer 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Jeffrey Charles Dumbrell officer: Chief Revenue Officer 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Anna Rose Novoseletsky officer: Chief Legal Officer 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Scott Matthew Stewart officer: Chief Accounting Officer 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Ankit Varia officer: Chief Accounting Officer CANTALOUPE, INC., 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Hudson Executive Capital Lp 10 percent owner C/O CADWALADER, WICKERSHAM & TAFT, LLP, 200 LIBERTY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10281
Lisa P. Baird director 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Sean E Feeney officer: Chief Executive Officer PORTER WRIGHT MORRIS & ARTHUR LL, 41 S HIGH STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43215
James M Pollock officer: Chief Compliance Officer 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Roger Wayne Jackson officer: Chief Financial Officer 1 CONCOURSE PARKWAY, SUITE 500, ATLANTA GA 30328
Eugene Cavanaugh officer: Interim CFO 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355
Jeff Vogt officer: Chief Operating Officer 100 DEERFIELD LANE, SUITE 300, MALVERN PA 19355