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Cushman & Wakefield (Cushman & Wakefield) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.07% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Cushman & Wakefield Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cushman & Wakefield's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Cushman & Wakefield's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Cushman & Wakefield's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cushman & Wakefield's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Cushman & Wakefield's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cushman & Wakefield's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Cushman & Wakefield Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.27

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.07%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Cushman & Wakefield  (NYSE:CWK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Cushman & Wakefield Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Cushman & Wakefield (Cushman & Wakefield) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
125 Old Broad Street, London, GBR, EC2N 1AR
Cushman & Wakefield is one of the largest commercial real estate services firms in the world, with global headquarters in Chicago. The firm provides various real estate-related services to owners, occupiers, and investors. These include brokerage services for leasing and capital markets sales as well as advisory services such valuation, project management, and facilities management.
Executives
Nathaniel Robinson officer: EVP, Strategic Planning, CIO 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Tpg Gp A, Llc 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Michelle Felman director
Noelle J Perkins officer: See Remarks 3075 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE TX 60515
Pagac Drone Holding Gp I Ltd 10 percent owner 32/F, AIA CENTRAL, 1 CONNAUGHT ROAD CENTRAL, HONG KONG K3 NA
Michelle Mackay director C/O WCI COMMUNITIES, INC., 24301 WALDEN CENTER DRIVE, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
W Brett White director, officer: Executive Chairman and CEO 2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Andrew R. Mcdonald officer: President C/O CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD PLC, 225 W WACKER DR SUITE 3000, CHICAGO IL 60606
Jon Winkelried 10 percent owner C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
John Forrester officer: President 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Angela Sun director 7001 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, DENVER CO 80236
Tpg Asia Advisors Vi, Inc. 10 percent owner C/O TPG GLOBAL, LLC, 301 COMMERCE STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Anthony Murray Miller director 225 WEST WACKER DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60606
Neil O Johnston officer: Global Chief Financial Officer
Angelique G. Brunner director C/O CHESAPEAKE LODGING TRUST, 4300 WILSON BOULEVARD, SUITE 625, ARLINGTON VA 22203