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Caesars Entertainment (Caesars Entertainment) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.11% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Caesars Entertainment Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Caesars Entertainment's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Caesars Entertainment's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Caesars Entertainment's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caesars Entertainment's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Caesars Entertainment's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caesars Entertainment's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Caesars Entertainment Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.79

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Caesars Entertainment  (NAS:CZR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Caesars Entertainment Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Caesars Entertainment (Caesars Entertainment) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 West Liberty Street, 12th Floor, Reno, NV, USA, 89501
Caesars Entertainment includes about 50 domestic gaming properties across Las Vegas (58% of 2022 EBITDAR before corporate and digital expenses) and regional (59%) markets. Additionally, the company hosts managed properties and digital assets, the later of which produced material EBITDA losses in 2022. Caesars' U.S. presence roughly doubled with the 2020 acquisition by Eldorado, which built its first casino in Reno, Nevada, in 1973 and expanded its presence through prior acquisitions to over 20 properties before merging with legacy Caesars. Caesars' brands include Caesars, Harrah's, Tropicana, Bally's, Isle, and Flamingo. Also, the company owns the U.S. portion of William Hill (it sold the international operation in 2022), a digital sports betting platform.
Executives
Michael E Pegram director PO BOX 285, BURLINGTON WA 98233
Stephanie Lepori officer: CAO & Chief Admin. Officer 100 WEST LIBERTY STREET, SUITE 1150, RENO NV 89501
Thomas Reeg director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 21 WATERWAY AVE, SUITE 150, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
David P Tomick director 100 REGENCY FOREST DR, SUITE 400, CARY NC 27511
Don R Kornstein director DON R KORNSTEIN, 825 LAKESHORE BLVD, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451
Fahrenkopf Frank J Jr director ONE CORPORATE CENTER, RYE NY 10580
Mather Courtney director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Sandra Douglass Morgan director 601 RIVERSIDE AVENUE, JACKSONVILLE FL 32204
Quatmann Edmund L Jr officer: See Remarks 600 EMERSON ROAD, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
Josh Jones officer: Chief Marketing Officer 100 W. LIBERTY ST., 12TH FLOOR, RENO NV 89501
Anthony L. Carano officer: President and COO 100 WEST LIBERTY STREET, RENO NV 89501
Gary L. Carano director, officer: Exec. Chairman of the Board 100 WEST LIBERTY STREET, 11TH FLOOR, RENO NV 89501
Bonnie Biumi director RETAIL PROPERTIES OF AMERICA, INC., 2021 SPRING ROAD, SUITE 200, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Jones Blackhurst Janis L director ONE CAESARS PALACE DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
James B Hawkins director C/O IRADIMED CORPORATION, 1025 WILLA SPRINGS DR., WINTER SPRINGS FL 32708