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BNY Mellon Municipalome, (BNY Mellon Municipalome,) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is BNY Mellon Municipalome, Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, BNY Mellon Municipalome,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of BNY Mellon Municipalome,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, BNY Mellon Municipalome,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BNY Mellon Municipalome,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, BNY Mellon Municipalome,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BNY Mellon Municipalome,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



BNY Mellon Municipalome, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


BNY Mellon Municipalome,  (AMEX:DMF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


BNY Mellon Municipalome, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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BNY Mellon Municipalome, (BNY Mellon Municipalome,) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
c/o BNY Mellon Investment Adviser, Inc., 240 Greenwich Street, New York, NY, USA, 10286
BNY Mellon Municipal Income, Inc. is a non-diversified closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is to maximize current income exempt from federal income tax to the extent consistent with the preservation of capital. The fund invests in municipal obligations that are rated investment grade and have maturities of less than one year. The company targets to invest in the sector such as education, pre-refunded muni, utility, transportation, healthcare, special tax, state/territory general obligations, industry revenue, and pollution control.
Executives
Saba Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174
Boaz Weinstein 10 percent owner 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174
Bushra Mannan other: Director of BNYMIA (1) C/O BNY MELLON INVESTMENT ADVISER, INC., 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Irene Papadoulis other: Director of BNYMIA (1) C/O BNY MELLON INVESTMENT ADVISER, INC., 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Ping Jiang other: Dir. of Invest. Oversight (1) C/O BNY MELLON INVESTMENT ADVISER, INC., 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Banc Of America Preferred Funding Corp 10 percent owner 214 NORTH TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28255
Joseph Martella officer: VP C/O BNY MELLON INVESTMENT ADVISER, INC., 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10288
Daniel Goldstein officer: VP 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Insight North America Llc other: Sub-Adviser 200 PARK AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10166-0005
Robert J. Pomeroy officer: VP; Investment Adviser C/O BNY MELLON INVESTMENT ADVISER, INC., 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Tamara Belinfanti other: Advisory Board Member C/O BNY MELLON INVESTMENT ADVISER, INC., 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
John Squillace other: CCO; Investment Adviser 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Gregory Pasquale other: CFO; Investment Adviser C/O BNY MELLON INVESTMENT ADVISER, INC., 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Kenneth J. Bradle other: Director of Advisor 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Amanda Quinn officer: VP and Asst Secretary C/O BNY MELLON INVESTMENT ADVISER, INC., 240 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286

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