GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust (NYSE:ECAT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust (BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1990. Start your Free Trial

What is BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-11.90

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust  (NYSE:ECAT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust (BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 Bellevue Parkway, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19809
BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust is a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company. The Trust's investment objectives are to provide total return and income through a combination of current income, current gains, and long-term capital appreciation.
Executives
Saba Capital Management, L.p. 10 percent owner 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174
Richard M Rieder other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Arthur Philip Steinmetz director 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Aaron David Wasserman officer: Chief Compliance Officer 50 HUDSON YARDS, NEW YORK NY 10001
Boaz Weinstein 10 percent owner 405 LEXINGTON AVENUE, 58TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10174
David William Clayton other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Robert W Fairbairn director 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
John Perlowski director, officer: President and CEO 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Jonathan Diorio officer: Vice President 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Stayce D. Harris director 1999 S. BASCOM AVE., SUITE 700, CAMPBELL CA 95008
Russell Jared Koesterich other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Katherine Ann Moore other: Portfolio Manager 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Blackrock (singapore) Ltd. other: Investment Adviser 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Blackrock Advisors Llc other: Investment Adviser 100 BELLEVUE PARKWAY, WILMINGTON DE 19809
Trent Walker officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PIMCO, 650 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660