Ever-Glory International Group (Ever-Glory International Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 16, 2024)

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What is Ever-Glory International Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ever-Glory International Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Ever-Glory International Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Ever-Glory International Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Ever-Glory International Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ever-Glory International Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ever-Glory International Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Ever-Glory International Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Ever-Glory International Group (OTCPK:EVKG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Ever-Glory International Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Ever-Glory International Group (Ever-Glory International Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories » Ever-Glory International Group Inc (OTCPK:EVKG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Ever-Glory Commercial Center, 509 Chengxin Road, Jiangning Development Zone, Jiangsu Province, Nanjing, CHN, 211102

Website

http://www.everglorygroup.com

Ever-Glory International Group Inc retails branded fashion apparel and operates as an apparel supply chain solution provider. The company offers apparel to a woman under its various brands such as La go go, Velwin, Sea To Sky, and Idole with over 936 retail locations in China. The firm also offers global apparel supply chain solutions aiming at middle-to-high end casual wear, outerwear, and sportswear brands. It manufactures apparel products in the People's Republic of China (PRC). It derives most of its revenues from its business in Mainland China and has operations spread across HK China, UK, Europe, United States and Japan.

Executives

Jianhua Wang	director	C/O EVER-GLORY INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC., 509 CHENGXIN ROAD, JIANGNING DEVELOPMENT, NANJING, JIANGSU PROVINCE F4 211102
Huake Kang	10 percent owner	ROOM 102, NO. 16-1, WEI ALLEY, XUANWU DISTRICT, NANJING CITY F4 00000
Merry Tang	director	GZTY CPA GROUP, LLC, 52 BRIDGE STREET, METUCHEN NJ 08840
Gerald Goldberg	director
Tchaikovsky Bennet Price Jr	director	11601 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2150, LOS ANGELES CA 90025
Zhixue Zhang	director	RUI JIN BEI CUN COMMUNITY, BAIXIA DISTRICT, NANJING F4 000000
Changyu Qi	director	RUI JIN BEI CUN COMMUNITY, BAIXIA DISTRICT, NANJING F4 000000
Ever-glory Enterprises (h.k.) Ltd	10 percent owner	NO. 22-503, MEI HUA SHAN ZHUANG, MU XU YUAN STREET, NANJING, JIANGSU PROVINCE F4 000000
Yihua Kang	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, CEO & Secretary	EVER-GLORY COMM. CENTER, HUARUI BLDG., NO. 33 YUDAO ST., NANJING F4 210007
Jiajun Sun	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	EVER-GLORY COMM. CENTER, HUARUI BLDG., NO. 33 YUDAO ST., NANJING F4 210007
Xiaodong Yan	director	EVER-GLORY COMM. CENTER, HUARUI BLDG., NO. 33 YUDAO ST., NANJING F4 210007
Ning Li	director	EVER-GLORY COMM. CENTER, HUARUI BLDG., NO. 33 YUDAO ST., NANJING F4 210007
Ruqin Wei	director	EVER-GLORY COMM. CENTER, HUARUI BLDG., NO. 33 YUDAO ST., NANJING F4 210007
Yan Guo	officer: Chief Financial Officer	EVER-GLORY COMM. CENTER, HUARUI BLDG., NO. 33 YUDAO ST., NANJING F4 210007
Lance Richard Larsen	officer: President	75 SUNBANK WAY SE, ALBERTA, CALGARY AB A0 0000