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Fortune Brands Innovations (Fortune Brands Innovations) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Fortune Brands Innovations Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fortune Brands Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Fortune Brands Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Fortune Brands Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortune Brands Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Fortune Brands Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortune Brands Innovations's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fortune Brands Innovations Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.06

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fortune Brands Innovations  (NYSE:FBIN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fortune Brands Innovations Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Fortune Brands Innovations (Fortune Brands Innovations) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
520 Lake Cook Road, Suite 300, Deerfield, IL, USA, 60015-5611
Fortune Brands Innovations is a leading home and security products company that operates two segments. The company's $2.6 billion plumbing segment, led by the Moen brand, sells faucets, showers, and other plumbing fixtures, and the $2.2 billion outdoors and security segment sells entry doors under the Therma-Tru brand name, Fiberon-branded patio decking, and locks and other security devices under the Master Lock and SentrySafe brand names.
Executives
Ann F Hackett director
Amee Chande director 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 300, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Stephanie L. Pugliese director 170 COUNTRYSIDE DRIVE, BELLEVILLE WI 53508
David V. Barry officer: EVP & CFO FORTUNE BRANDS INNOVATIONS, INC., 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Lee John Dong Gu officer: EVP Chief Strategy & Growth 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Ron Wilson officer: EVP, Chief Supply Chain FORTUNE BRANDS HOME & SECURITY, INC., 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Hiranda S Donoghue officer: EVP Chief Legal & Secretary 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Cheri M Phyfer officer: EVP, Group President 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Sheri Grissom officer: EVP, CHRO & Transformation 13000 WEST SILVER SPRING DRIVE, BUTLER WI 53007
Nicholas I. Fink director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Patrick D Hallinan officer: EVP & CFO FORTUNE BRANDS HOME & SECURITY, INC., 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Mackay A D David director
Martin Thomas officer: SVP Ops &Supply Chain Strategy FORTUNE BRANDS HOME & SECURITY, INC., SUITE 300, DEERFIELD IL 60015
May Russell officer: SVP & CDO 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Danny Luburic officer: Vice President & Controller FORTUNE BRANDS HOME & SECURITY, INC., 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015

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