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4Front Ventures (4Front Ventures) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 1.46% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is 4Front Ventures Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, 4Front Ventures's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 1.46%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of 4Front Ventures's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, 4Front Ventures's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


4Front Ventures's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, 4Front Ventures's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where 4Front Ventures's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



4Front Ventures Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.22

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=1.46%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


4Front Ventures  (OTCPK:FFNTF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


4Front Ventures Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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4Front Ventures (4Front Ventures) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5060 North 40th Street, Suite 120, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85018
4Front Ventures Corp is a Canadian-based company. It is engaged in the cultivation, processing, extracting, manufacturing, and distribution of cannabis products. It operates in two segments: THC Cannabis and CBD Wellness. The THC Cannabis segment engages in the production and cultivation of THC cannabis, manufacturing and distribution of cannabis products to own dispensaries and third-party retail customers. The CBD Wellness segment encompasses the production and sale of CBD products to third-party customers.
Executives
Leonid Gontmakher director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 5060 N. 40TH STREET, SUITE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Nicole Frederick officer: See Remarks C/O 4FRONT VENTURES CORP., 7010 E. CHAUNCEY LANE STE. 235, PHOENIX AZ 85054
Kristopher Krane director 5060 N. 40TH STREET, SUITE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
David Ryan Daily director 5060 N 40TH STREET STE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Roman Tkachenko director 5060 N 40TH STREET STE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Karl Chowscano other: Consultant 5060 N. 40TH STREET, SUITE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Chetan Gulati director 28 REICHERT CIRCLE, WESTPORT CT 06880
Keith Edward Adams officer: Chief Financial Officer 108 S. WETHERLY DRIVE, UNIT 4, LOS ANGELES CA 90048
Robert E Hunt director C/O GROWLIFE, INC., 20301 VENTURA BLVD., SUITE 126, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91364
Amit Ramanlal Patel director 3305 PINE AVENUE, MANHATTAN BEACH CA 90266
Kathi P Lentzsch director 5060 N 40TH STREET STE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Andrew Thut officer: Chief Investment Officer 5060 N. 40TH STREET, SUITE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Joseph R Feltham officer: Chief Operating Officer 5060 N. 40TH STREET, STE 120, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Eric J. Rey director ARCADIA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 202 COUSTEAU PLACE, SUITE 105, DAVIS CA 95618
Nicolle Dorsey officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O REAL GOODS SOLAR, INC., 110 16TH STREET, 3RD FLOOR, DENVER CO 80202