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Farmland Partners (Farmland Partners) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Farmland Partners Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Farmland Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Farmland Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Specialty subindustry, Farmland Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Farmland Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Farmland Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Farmland Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Farmland Partners Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.89

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Farmland Partners  (NYSE:FPI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Farmland Partners Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Farmland Partners (Farmland Partners) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Farmland Partners Inc (NYSE:FPI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4600 South Syracuse Street, Suite 1450, Denver, CO, USA, 80237
Farmland Partners Inc owns and seeks to acquire high-quality farmland throughout North America. The company is an internally managed real estate company and owns and contracts of farmland and storage facilities located across the United States. Its properties are farmed by over 100 tenants growing more than 26 commercial crops. Farmland Partners generates its revenues through the rent it receives from its tenants.
Executives
Paul A Pittman director, officer: President and CEO 4910 BIRCH ST., SUITE 102, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Jennifer S Grafton director 9540 SOUTH MAROON CIRCLE, SUITE 200, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Murray R Wise director 2407 S NEIL PO BOX 3009, CHAMPAIGN IL 61826
Luca Fabbri officer: CFO, Secretary and Treasurer C/O FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., 8670 WOLFF COURT, SUITE 240, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Christine M. Garrison officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., 4600 S. SYRACUSE STREET, SUITE 1450, DENVER CO 80237
John A Good director C/O JERNIGAN CAPITAL, INC., 1395 BRICKELL AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33131
Danny D. Moore director C/O FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., 4600 S. SYRACUSE STREET, SUITE 1450, DENVER CO 80237
James Gilligan officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., 4600 S. SYRACUSE STREET, SUITE 1450, DENVER CO 80237
Thomas Heneghan director C/O MANUFACTURED HOME COMMUNITIES INC, 2 N RIVER PLAZA #800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Toby Orourke director FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., 4600 S. SYRACUSE STREET, SUITE 1450, DENVER CO 80237
Erica Borenstein officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., 8670 WOLFF COURT, SUITE 240, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Chris A Downey director C/O FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., : 8670 WOLFF COURT, SUITE 240, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Jay Bartels director C/O FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., 8670 WOLFF COURT, SUITE 240, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Joseph W Glauber director FARMLAND PARTNERS INC., 8670 WOLFF COURT, SUITE 240, WESTMINSTER CO 80031
Dennie Dixon Boardman director C/O OPTIMA FUND MANAGEMENT LLC, 10 EAST 53RD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022