John Hancock Preferredome Fund II (John Hancock Preferredome Fund II) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.08% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.08%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.18

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.08%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments)

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II (NYSE:HPF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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John Hancock Preferredome Fund II (John Hancock Preferredome Fund II) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » John Hancock Preferred Income Fund II (NYSE:HPF) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

200 Berkeley Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02116

Website

https://www.jhinvestments.com

John Hancock Preferred Income Fund II is the United States based closed-end, diversified management investment company. Its primary objective is to provide a high level of current income consistent with preservation of capital. The fund's secondary investment objective is to provide growth of capital to the extent consistent with its primary investment objective. The fund's principal investment strategies include to invests a majority of its assets in preferred stocks and other preferred securities, including convertible preferred securities. Its portfolio composition consists of U.S preferred securities, common stocks, foreign preferred securities, corporate bonds, capital preferred securities and short-term investments.

Executives

Dean Garfield	director	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Noni L Ellison	director	TRACTOR SUPPLY, 5401 VIRGINIA WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Andy Mcfetridge	officer: Director of the Adviser	200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Kristie Feinberg	officer: President & CEO of the Adviser	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
York Lo	officer: Vice President, Investments	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Kathryn Hayes	other: Filer and Employee of the Fund	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Patricia Lizarraga	director	C/O JOHN, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Paul Lorentz	director	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Arthur Pigott	officer: VP of the Adviser	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Glen J Gibbons	officer: VP of the Adviser	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Frances G Rathke	other: Trustee of the Fund	C/O GREEN MOUNTAIN COFFEE ROASTERS, INC., 33 COFFEE LANE, WATERBURY VT 05676
Brian Macphee	officer: Vice President of the Adviser	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 164 CORPORATE DRIVE, PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Steven R Pruchansky	other: Trustee, the Fund	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 601 CONGRESS STREET, BOSTON MA 02210
Sean Speer	officer: Vice President of the Adviser	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 197 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Michael Tassinari	officer: Vice President of the Adviser	C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116