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Samsara (Samsara) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Samsara Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Samsara's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Samsara's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Samsara's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Samsara's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Samsara's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Samsara's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Samsara Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.74

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Samsara  (NYSE:IOT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Samsara Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Samsara (Samsara) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Samsara Inc (NYSE:IOT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 De Haro Street, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94107
Samsara Inc provides an end-to-end solution for operations: The solution connects physical operations data to the Connected Operations Cloud, which consists of the Data Platform and Application. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Sanjit Biswas director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 350 RHODE ISLAND STREET, 4TH FLOOR, SOUTH BUILDING, SAN FRANSCISO CA 94103
John Bicket director, 10 percent owner, officer: See remarks 350 RHODE ISLAND STREET, 4TH FLOOR, SOUTH BUILDING, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Adam Eltoukhy officer: See remarks 350 RHODE ISLAND STREET, 4TH FLOOR, SOUTH BUILDING, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Susan L Bostrom director
Lara Caimi officer: President, Worldwide Field Ops C/O CONFLUENT, INC., 899 W EVELYN AVENUE, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94041
James Andrew Munk officer: Chief Accounting Officer 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Jonathan Chadwick director 3401 HILLVIEW AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Dominic Phillips officer: See remarks 350 RHODE ISLAND STREET, 4TH FLOOR, SOUTH BUILDING, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Andreessen Horowitz Lsv Fund I-b, L.p. 10 percent owner 2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Ah Parallel Fund Iv-a, L.p. 10 percent owner 2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Marc L Andreessen director, 10 percent owner C/O ARNOLD & PORTER LLP, 3 EMBARCADERO CENTER 7TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Andreessen Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii-b, L.p. 10 percent owner 2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Andreessen Horowitz Fund Iv-a, L.p. 10 percent owner 2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Todd M Bluedorn director 2140 LAKE PARK BLVD., RICHARDSON TX 75080
Hemant Taneja director, 10 percent owner C/O GENERAL CATALYST, 20 UNIVERSITY ROAD, 4TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02138