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Kimco Realty (Kimco Realty) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Kimco Realty Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kimco Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kimco Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Kimco Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kimco Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Kimco Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kimco Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kimco Realty Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kimco Realty  (NYSE:KIM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kimco Realty Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kimco Realty (Kimco Realty) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Kimco Realty Corp (NYSE:KIM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
500 North Broadway, Suite 201, Jericho, NY, USA, 11753
One of the oldest real estate investment trusts in the United States, Kimco Realty owns interests in 5,282 shopping centers throughout major markets in the U.S., representing roughly 77 million square feet.
Executives
Frank Lourenso director 3333 NEW HYDE PARK ROAD, NEW HYDE PARK NY 11042
Glenn Gary Cohen officer: V.P. - Treasurer 3333 NEW HYDE PARK ROAD, NEW HYDE PARK NY 11042
Paul Westbrook officer: VP - Chief Accounting Officer C/O KIMCO REALTY CORP., 3333 NEW HYDE PARK ROAD, NEW HYDE PARK NY 11042
Richard B Saltzman director C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
David Jamieson officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O KIMCO REALTY CORP., 3333 NEW HYDE PARK ROAD, NEW HYDE PARK NY 11042
Henry Moniz director C/O KIMCO REALTY CORPORATION, 500 NORTH BROADWAY, SUITE 201, JERICHO NY 11753
Coviello Philip E Jr director GETTY REALTY CORP, 2 JERICHO PLAZA, STE 110, JERICHO NY 11753
Joe Grills director MERRILL LYNCH ASSET MANAGEMENT, 800 SCUDDER MILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
Valerie Richardson director C/O KIMCO REALTY CORP., 333 NEW HYDE PARK ROAD, NEW HYDE PARK NY 11042
Milton Cooper director, officer: Chairman & CEO C/O KIMCO REALTY CORP, 3333 NEW HYDE PARK RD STE 100, HYDE PARK NY 11042
Ross Cooper officer: President C/O KIMCO REALTY CORP., 3333 NEW HYDE PARK ROAD, NEW HYDE PARK NY 11042
Mary Hogan Preusse director C/O KIMCO REALTY CORP., 3333 NEW HYDE PARK ROAD, NEW HYDE PARK NY 11042
Flynn Conor C officer: President, COO and CIO C/O KIMCO REATLY CORP., 3333 NEW HYDE PARK ROAD, NEW HYDE PARK NY 11042
David Henry officer: Cheif Executive Officer 3333 NEW HYDE PARK ROAD, NEW HYDE PARK NY 11042
Michael V Pappagallo officer: V.P. - CFO BRIXMOR PROPERTY GROUP, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017